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Weekend Update…

Jul 31st

Posted by Red in Leo's Den

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Bullish or Bearish?

While the jury is still in determining the market direction from here, I’m leaning bearish at this point.  However, I do see Monday as an UP day, but after that I think the overall week will be down.  For the upside, I don’t have anymore short term prints except the 111.28 spy print that I posted Friday.

Since that was an intraday print, it should be hit within 1-2 days… meaning Monday, (since it failed to hit there on Friday).  That would also be right at the falling channel’s upper trendline (shown on the 60 minute chart).  I don’t have any other upside prints except the longer term print of DIA 118.16 (about 11,800 Dow), which is a long ways away right now.

But on the downside, I have a short term print of 107.12 spy from a week ago, and Anna caught it again on the intraday chart on Thursday, further confirming the accuracy of the print.  The level she seen was 107.35 spy, so I’m pretty sure we will see that level next week some time.

On a longer term, I have the Dow 8300 print from several weeks back.  So when will that play out?  If that weekly chart rolls over next week (which could happen if we close down around the 107 level next week), then we could hit that low within a few weeks.

I don’t for sure yet, as until the weekly chart rolls over (the daily too of course, and I expect that to happen early next week on it), it’s still possible for the market to go up more.  But, I’m 70-80% bearish for next week, and I do expect that 107 FP area to be hit before next Friday.

At that point, I’d need to look at the charts again to see what the weekly chart does.  Again, if it rolls over, the market is toast!  That 8300 Dow will be upon us before the end of August.  And, there’s enough important data coming out next week that could easily cause the sell off to happen.

On Tuesday we have Personal Income and Personal Spending, which will move the market one way or the other.  On Thursday we have Continuing Claims and Initial Claims out, and finally Friday has the Unemployment Rate, Hourly Earnings, and Consumer Credit… all are “market movers”!

There are plenty of reasons to blame the sell off on next week, as I really can’t see all of those reports being positive and causing another move up in the market.  This leads me more and more bearish, as I just don’t think the weekly chart has enough juice left for a breakout move to the upside.  Especially now that the daily has ran out of steam too.

So from a technical point of view, the weekly and daily charts are running on empty for power now.  I’d say they’ve used up 90% of their juice, and could roll over at any time now.  The monthly is still bearish, and only took a “pause” period last month, which still didn’t do any damage to the overall trend down.

And of course from a “news point of view”, next week could scare a lot of bulls from staying long.  We all know that the market is manipulated and 100% controlled (you should know that, if you are a regular reader), which means they could make all the reports look positive, by getting out their erasers and changing the data.

But, they also follow technical patterns too… especially on the larger time frame charts, as they are just too hard to manipulate.  The intraday moves don’t take as much money to control, as turning around the Titanic would (meaning the monthly charts’ down trend)!

Ok, so Monday I’m looking to go up to that 111.28 print by the close.  Then I’m looking for the 60 minute chart too have peaked out, and the daily to get even closed to have a bearish cross on the MACD lines.  Since Tuesday starts out the week with the first of many reports that can move the market, I’d expect that to be the start of move down toward our 107 area FP.

The market moves fast on the way down, so who knows how fast it could hit that target low?  Bad news on Tuesday could cause us to hit that level before the Thursday news, because traders will be selling in fear that the job’s data will be horrible.  The old “buy the rumor, sell the fact”, or in this case… “sell the rumor, MAYBE? buy the fact”.

That’s my crystal ball reading for next week…

Red

DIA, DOW, SPX, spy, stock market, stock market forecast, Weekend Update

Is It Over Yet?

Jul 29th

Posted by Red in Leo's Den

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Maybe for a day or two I believe…

But the selling isn’t done completely.  While I think we will close positive tomorrow, after a morning sell off, next week should start out down.  The charts tell me that these last 3 down days were likely the start of a wave 1 move, with the close of tomorrow being the start of a wave 2 back up.

However, I do think we could sell off in the morning first, and then rally the rest of the day… closing positive at the end. The downside target tomorrow isn’t known, but certainly the 1085-1090 area is the first area I’d expect hit.  If that breaks, then a move down to our 107.12 (Anna got 107.35) spy FP would be the next area of support.

If we do go down that far tomorrow morning, then you definitely should expect a move back up throughout the rest of the day to occur.  We have a 69% chance of closing green according to Cobra’s after the bell report.  That makes a lot of sense too me, as the 60 minute chart needs to work off the oversold conditions it now has.

So, where ever we open at tomorrow morning, any selling should be short lived as the 5 and 15 minute charts bottom out and move back up throughout the rest of the day.  Looking at the afterhours prints for clues, I see a 111.28 spy print showing up as a “high” now, but we haven’t been there.  Is that another FP, telling us the closing level tomorrow?  Could be?

That would certainly be a positive close, if we went back up there into the afternoon session tomorrow.  If that’s the case, then I can’t see the 107 area being hit tomorrow morning, but instead the first support area of 1085-1090 spx.  So, for you bears, look for the selling to stop after the first 1-2 hours in the day.

And, since tomorrow is Friday, it could stop within the first hour as the traders leave early for the weekend.  While it would be great to see the 107 area hit tomorrow morning, I’m giving it low odds right now.  Let’s see how fast it moves to the double bottom area first (from today’s low), then we can see if it going to break that support or bounce and move back higher the rest of the day.

A quick move down (with volume) would indicate it is likely to break support, but if it takes its’ sweet time, and doesn’t hit that area until the 10:30-11:00 am time frame, then it will likely hold, and a move back up would be expected.  Hope this makes sense to you guys…

Red

Bears, Bulls, DIA, DOW, SPX, spy, stock market forecast

Upside Target Met?

Jul 27th

Posted by Red in Leo's Den

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Update for Thursday…

Put simply… possible move down at the open, and a slow grind back up in the afternoon until the close.

Red

————————————————————————————————————————-

We hit a high of 112.37 SPY today… is that enough?

It’s hard to say yet if today’s high fulfills our 112.41 FP, but tomorrow should be the last attempt higher. Since the 15 minute chart is in negative territory and ready to roll back up tomorrow, there could be one more gap up, or flat open and a quick run up to fulfill the print exactly.

However, many times in the past I’ve noticed that they either fall short a little or pierce through it a little… and then reverse directions. And, since today traded mostly sideways, it formed a bull flag on the lower time frame charts. That would support a possible quick move up tomorrow morning, and then selling off the rest of the day.

Either way, a turn back down in the market should be no more then 2 days away, with it starting as early as tomorrow. Our downside target is the 107.12 spy area (or the 107.35 print Anna caught today), once the selling begins. Since nothing news worthy is out tomorrow, we might have to wait until Thursday to see the selling begin.

So hang in there bears, your dinner should be ready soon.

Red

DIA, DOW, SPX, spy, stock market, stock market forecast

Weekend Update…

Jul 25th

Posted by Red in Leo's Den

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Monday Update…

No reason to another long post, as nothing much changed today.  As I said in the video’s, we are either going up to 112.41 spy or down to 107.12 spy.  It looks like we are going up first.  Once 112.41 is hit, I expect it to pull back from there and head down some into the rest of the week.

We could choppy around that area for awhile, as I’m not expect it to just fall off a cliff… back down to 107.12, as that might takes some time.  It might not happen at all, as I’m not exactly sure on the accuracy of that print?  But regardless of the downside target, the upside one should be hit very soon now… as we are within spitting distance of it.

Red

—————————————————————————————————————————–

The bulls are back in town!

Yes my dear reader, it looks like the low is in for awhile, as the bulls are back, and they mean business.  Last week I got trick by seeing what I wanted to see… the bearish side.  I was bearish again after the previous Fridays’ huge drop on opx week.  Then another small sell off on Wednesday of this week, as Bernanke spooked the market.

It was looking like the bulls were done as they hit the the top trendline of the falling channel since the April highs, and failed again at it.  But on Thursday, the PPT came to the rescue and rallied the market hard on horrible economy data and various earnings reports.

The 1060 level held strong as thousands more lose their jobs and can’t find work.  So instead of gapping down on Thursday morning, we gapped up and never looked back.  Go Bulls, you crack head sons of b’s….  Manipulation at it’s finest!  Clear and simple!  There was absolutely NO reason to go up, and a thousand reason to tank, but the operators do what they do best… steal the little guys money!

It’s funny how the previous week I was bullish, and then fell into my own trap on the big sell off days that happened.  It played out exactly as I stated it would during the previous weeks’ video’s.  But this week I was dead wrong on my bearish view.  I should have given that weekly chart more attention, as it was clearly telling me that the trend is UP now.

I ignored it this weekend, and only focused on the daily, 60 and 15 minute charts… which was a clear mistake, as the weekly keep supporting all those charts, by not allowing them to roll over as I thought they would.  So in the end, even though this Thursday was pure manipulation by the PPT, the weekly chart did support a move up for this week… just not a 300 point, shove it down your throat and make you choke on your shorts kind of move.

However, we must always remember that the market is designed to fool you and steal your money.  It’s just a big casino created by the crooks, to rob the little guy.  How else can they keep the world in slavery, but to lie, steal, cheat, arrest, murder, belittle, frame, assassinate, embarrass, etc… you get the picture.

But one day we’ll all be gone to that happy place in the sky they call heaven… where we can play funner games like sword fighting with Angels (and Demons too I guess?).  Ahhhh… what fun that will be.  Let’s just hope they have some other type of gambling there… maybe Bingo or something?  LOL

Moving on now…

Next week should be interesting as we still have the FP of 112.41 spy (about 1120 spx) which hasn’t been filled yet.  Then I seen one on Thursday of this week, showing 107.12 spy… meaning that we will probably go up to the 112.41 print first, and then back down to 107.12 to fill the gap made on Thursday morning of this week.

Will it play out like that?  Who knows, but it seems logical for that to happen.  That doesn’t mean we can’t go down to 107.12 first and then squeeze on up to 112.41 by the August opx… which is entirely possible.  We all know how they like to run the market high during opx week, so they don’t have too pay out on all the shorts in the market.

So, if we fall first, then the buy area should be that gap fill area of 107.12, and then the opx high should then be the 112.41 print.  The weekly chart is pushing up hard now, so we could be going up for several months now, as I stated in my video’s from the previous weeks (of course I ignored all that this week… duh).

If that’s the case, then the final high should be the DIA 118.16 print… which could be hit in late September, just after the crooks cash there bribery, robbery, payoff, etc… checks through the Vatican banks (the only banks in the world that don’t report anything to anyone).

This is during the September 9th-20th annual Pilgrimage of the Legatus Group.  During these events, the thugs that rule the world make decisions on where they plan to take the market next.  The last Pilgrimage was held earlier this year February the 4th-6th… which marked the bottom of a sell off.

What followed was a bear whipping that lasted 3 months.  They must have turned on the money tree after that meeting, at rallied like the sell off never happened.  Of course that event was planned many months in advance, and the bottom was told to everyone with the FP I got back in January, showing 1047 on the spx, when it really closed around 1140 something that day.

That was my first experience with a FP, and when it hit that 1044.50 intraday low on February the 5th, and had a massive reverse (that didn’t stop until the April high), I got burnt and lost a bunch of money on that move.  I learned then that the market was 100% controlled, and manipulated to take everyones’ money.

Now I pay very close attention to those FP’s, and important meetings by the crooks that run the world.  The Illuminati have a public face, and that’s when they get together in the Bilderberg group and have meetings.  Policy changes are done there, and decisions are made as to where to take the market next.

The private face of the Illuminati is through the Legatus group, where they poses a good church going people, all getting together to celebrate God… it’s all B.S.!  The group is nothing but a place for all the crooks to get together and funnel all the money tell stole through the Vatican, the most corrupt and evil organization on earth.

These are the people that are using “The Book of Dead” to bring forth demons from other dimensions and other times.  Most people (that study that stuff, I don’t… but keep my ears open a little), say that these demons are Reptilian Aliens that are in the lower levels of Vatican City.

Well, I don’t know about that… but I do know that when the Illuminati get together, either through their more pubic face in the Bilderberg Group, or their less know private face in the Legatus group… the market changes direction!  So, should we continue up until the fall event is over, you can look for a nice crash following it.

However, we have that Yahoo FP of Dow 8300 from a week or two ago (which could be but up to trick the masses, as I’ll gotten some feathers ruffled from postings all these FP’s lately… meaning that it’s Fake FP, put up to deceive us).

And currently, the charts don’t support a move down to that area now, as the weekly is pushing up the market pretty hard now.  But, should we take out the 1010 spx low next week, (not likely), or next month, then I’d say we will go to 8300.

The timing of these FP’s are always unknown.  We only know that once we are headed in that direction, and get close to that target, look for a reversal when it’s hit.  So, for next week I believe we will go down and hit the 107.12 print first and then rally back to 112.41 by August opx.

I’m just guessing of course, as forecasting this market is like trying to pick winning lottery tickets sometimes.  But, the weekly chart says we go up for the next few months.  However, the daily is overbought and should roll over next week… which is the reason I think we go down first and back up into opx week… which is traditionally bullish anyway.

Hope that helps give you a longer term view, as the short term is pretty clouded right now.  Some choppy waters lay ahead I believe.

Good luck to all you bears, and bulls too of course (as we all have to be fed straw from our masters from time to time.  After all, it’s better then starving like the bears do).

Red

Bears, bilderberg, Bulls, DIA, DOW, legatus, PPT, SPX, spy, stock market, stock market forecast, Weekend Update
bear-laying-down

Wow! What A Rally!

Jul 22nd

Posted by Red in Leo's Den

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It’s Over Now… The Bears Are All Done!

Rally, Rally, Rally… Go Bulls!  Of course you know I’m joking now, as I’m a bear by nature.  And today certainly put a hurting on the bears.  It took me totally by surprise, as the charts looked very bearish yesterday.  That goes to show you that just as soon as you think you’ve figured it out… they change the game plan.

I honestly have no clue about tomorrow, but I’d expect a “pause” day, as that’s what usually follows a big move up (or down).  Since we have now clearly broken outside the falling channel from the April high, I’d say we are going up next week too.

We still have a 112.41 spy print too be filled, and if this rally is going to continue, we’ll be there in no time flat.  Just layoff some more people, cut back on earnings forecasts, talk bad about the economy… and we’ll rally to the sky.  LOL.  But serious, is this the most screwed up market you have ever seen?  Nothing about today was bullish… absolutely NOTHING!

It was 100% manipulated to squeeze out the shorts… and boy did it ever work!  And shorts left now are broke, and homeless.  I hope all you bear survived it!

Ok, on to tomorrow…

The gap up and sideway trading is a major bull flag.  So, if it plays out, we should open and go higher tomorrow too.  Personally though, I think we will pull back a little, to retest the falling trendline around 1080 area now.  Then a bounce from there to start the next move up should occur.

This all assumes that “they” want to rally the market up higher, and aren’t just tricking the bulls right now.  The charts could be read either way, so I can see lot’s of bullishness in them and still find some bearishness too.  Basically, if the market doesn’t confirm tomorrow, and sells off further then the 1080 backtest area (putting in back inside the channel), then we are still in “whipsaw” alley.

However, it’s looking more and more like a new up trend should start now.  With all the bearish news out there, and we still rally on it… that has too tell you that we’re not likely going back down anytime soon.

But, they did leave a gap around that 1070 level that will need too be filled… eventually!  Not that it’s any comfort for the short term bears, but if you hold long enough we will revisit that gap and fill it.

Well, that’s about all the bad news I can stand for today (at least for the bears), so I’ll close in saying that I really don’t know what tomorrow will bring…

Red

DIA, DOW, fake print, SPX, spy, stock market, stock market forecast
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