It was mentioned a few days ago that Seattle with the NFL’s top ranked defense finished first in scoring defense, turnvovers/(margin), and yardage allowed, the first team to do it since the 1985 champion Chicago Bears, widely considered the top defense of all time and a team that crushed the AFC champion in the Superbowl. The next year another team with a smothering defense the New York Giants pummeled the Broncos in the 1987 SB.
And here’s how some of the similarities to this season compare to the season leading up to the 87 and 88 SBs. Denver, the AFC champion feasted on teams from the inferior AFC and the NFC LEAST. Seattle slugged its way through the much superior NFC and materialized as the NFC champion. They played in a division that featured 3 teams with a winning record and a fourth one that finished 7-9.
Denver had a similar bend but dont break style defense to its 80s counterpart. They gave up 24 pts a game during the season that was masked by Denver’s high octane offense. They dropped that total to 17 pts in the playoffs but they played some weak playoff teams and those games were at home. The Patriots in particular had a very depleted squad with their best offensive and defensive players already out for the season. The Denver squad of 86-87 did lead the AFC in scoring points allowed but no one compared them to the Bears, Giants juggernaut squads of the time.
This year’s Seattle squad also had a ridiculous low yards per pass attempt allowed which is probably the most vital defensive statistic in this pass happy era. It doesn’t help that their DBs are so jacked up that they’re like linebackers roaming around in the secondary and they play an aggressive bump and run type coverage that they almost dare the refs to throw flags. But considering there have been only 7 pass interference calls made in the playoffs, their aggressive tendency doesn’t seem to be in any jeopardy from the refs.
Bill Polian mentioned 5 metrics for a SB champion that favored the Seahawks over the Broncos.
Among them were rushing attempts on the season, turnover margin, and ypa allowed (mentioned above but that might have been a 6th metric).
And historically the team with the NFL top ranked defense in the SB has generally won the SB.
This was the case in the 1990 SB when the top ranked defense of the Giants squared up against the high octane offense of the Buffalo Bills and defeated the Bills 15-13. The Bills were coming off putting 50 pts in the AFC championship game and 40 pts a week earlier.
The betting line on the SB seems like a trap line. The Broncos, led by Popgun and his record-breaking 55 TDsd, the highest scoring offense of all time, and with an average large margin of victory are only favored by 2.5 pts and this after Seattle opened as a slight favorite. One would think the betting public would jump all over this line considering the popularity of Huckleberry Popgun, the QB of the people with a net worth of somewhere around $200 million, and his endless hype and gazillion commercials. The public likes to bet on favorites and marquee teams led by marquis players. Considering that Denver has only won one game by 7 points or less all year so the line really doesn’t make any sense unless Seattle is truly the better team which will be brought up in SB preview part deux deux.
So on the theory that the operators should benefit the most out of any outcome then Seattle should win the game but they should also win it dramatically to keep up with the 1987/88 SB similarities.
Then there is the recent case of SB 45 when the Patriots came in led by Tom Brady and his record breaking stats with the highest scoring team of all time only to lose to the 1987 champ Giants.
Denver was a Superbowl participant in the two Superbowls surrounding the event of 1987 ie the lesser grand ritual and they were destroyed both times 39-20 by the New York Giants in January 1987 and 42-10 by the Washington Redskins in January 1988. They were led by QB #7 who returned to the team a few years ago in some sort of executive capacity where he functions as the de facto team leader.
It is worth noting that the 1987 champion New York Giants might not be playing in this year’s Superbowl but their spirit will be there.
They were also champs in 2008, 2 years ago, following the Superbowl won by the 1929 champion Green Bay Packers. They also lost to last year’s champion Baltimore Ravens in the 2001 SB, 34-7, the culmination of the 2000 tech bubble bursting season and in the midst of the tech meltdown on January 29,2001.
In an interesting coincidence, both of this year’s SB participants, the Denver Broncos and the Seattle Seahawks played the Giants during the year and both played at their stadium in New Jersey(the Meadowlands). Both teams defeated the Giants. The Giant’s QB is Popgun’s brother. He has won 2 SBs to Popgun’s 1.
Hmmm, might have gotten an HO signal…..or observation???? 68 new highs and 80 new lows for $nyse according SC. That’s right around the threshold for a signal.
I am moving my target for a low out to Tuesday or Wednesday. Everything is muddled at this point. Not really oversold but also don’t like seeing inside day red bars for a lot of indices on mildly negative breadth. A lot of hollow candlesticks as well. But then again indices were held up on monster earnings pops from Goog and CMG and I doubt we have any pre-opening earnings releases like that on Monday morning.
I had a low for today because it was the first day after a new moon which has seen a first wave bottom in 3 instances for 3 historical epochs. It still might produce a bottom. Plus we would finish the month down and there would be endless chatter about the January barometer. Plus the start of Yellen’s new term. And a possibly negative Superbowl indicator triggering. All the ingredients in place for a rip roaring in your face contrarian start of the new month rally.
Except the market did not achieve the ideal configuration for a first wave bottom. No final washout to get the pundits in a hysteria and blather endlessly about the January barometer. In a certain historical epoch that the Dow is following quite impressively, the low came in place within the first 3 trading days of the new month. The Dow also did close below its December lows ever so slightly. The $vix looks bullish and is still making new highs. And the euro looks like it’s in a complete freefall at the moment.
So much for that new “sports” contact. He was dead wrong on that call. Good thing I don’t bet on the games.
A great video about the power of GOD… http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qAxGTZNVd80
I It’s going to be a case where Popgun’s NFL worst arm is going to be brought back to reality.
It was mentioned a few days ago that Seattle with the NFL’s top ranked defense finished first in scoring defense, turnvovers/(margin), and yardage allowed, the first team to do it since the 1985 champion Chicago Bears, widely considered the top defense of all time and a team that crushed the AFC champion in the Superbowl. The next year another team with a smothering defense the New York Giants pummeled the Broncos in the 1987 SB.
And here’s how some of the similarities to this season compare to the season leading up to the 87 and 88 SBs. Denver, the AFC champion feasted on teams from the inferior AFC and the NFC LEAST. Seattle slugged its way through the much superior NFC and materialized as the NFC champion. They played in a division that featured 3 teams with a winning record and a fourth one that finished 7-9.
Denver had a similar bend but dont break style defense to its 80s counterpart. They gave up 24 pts a game during the season that was masked by Denver’s high octane offense. They dropped that total to 17 pts in the playoffs but they played some weak playoff teams and those games were at home. The Patriots in particular had a very depleted squad with their best offensive and defensive players already out for the season. The Denver squad of 86-87 did lead the AFC in scoring points allowed but no one compared them to the Bears, Giants juggernaut squads of the time.
This year’s Seattle squad also had a ridiculous low yards per pass attempt allowed which is probably the most vital defensive statistic in this pass happy era. It doesn’t help that their DBs are so jacked up that they’re like linebackers roaming around in the secondary and they play an aggressive bump and run type coverage that they almost dare the refs to throw flags. But considering there have been only 7 pass interference calls made in the playoffs, their aggressive tendency doesn’t seem to be in any jeopardy from the refs.
Bill Polian mentioned 5 metrics for a SB champion that favored the Seahawks over the Broncos.
Among them were rushing attempts on the season, turnover margin, and ypa allowed (mentioned above but that might have been a 6th metric).
And historically the team with the NFL top ranked defense in the SB has generally won the SB.
This was the case in the 1990 SB when the top ranked defense of the Giants squared up against the high octane offense of the Buffalo Bills and defeated the Bills 15-13. The Bills were coming off putting 50 pts in the AFC championship game and 40 pts a week earlier.
Denver will win. It’s already planned and setup for them. All the big games are rigged as too much money is bet on them.
Superbowl Preview part deux:
The betting line on the SB seems like a trap line. The Broncos, led by Popgun and his record-breaking 55 TDsd, the highest scoring offense of all time, and with an average large margin of victory are only favored by 2.5 pts and this after Seattle opened as a slight favorite. One would think the betting public would jump all over this line considering the popularity of Huckleberry Popgun, the QB of the people with a net worth of somewhere around $200 million, and his endless hype and gazillion commercials. The public likes to bet on favorites and marquee teams led by marquis players. Considering that Denver has only won one game by 7 points or less all year so the line really doesn’t make any sense unless Seattle is truly the better team which will be brought up in SB preview part deux deux.
So on the theory that the operators should benefit the most out of any outcome then Seattle should win the game but they should also win it dramatically to keep up with the 1987/88 SB similarities.
Then there is the recent case of SB 45 when the Patriots came in led by Tom Brady and his record breaking stats with the highest scoring team of all time only to lose to the 1987 champ Giants.
SPY Analysis after closing bell: http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.in/2014/02/spy-analysis-after-closing-bell.html
Just a little tidbit of my Superbowl preview:
Denver was a Superbowl participant in the two Superbowls surrounding the event of 1987 ie the lesser grand ritual and they were destroyed both times 39-20 by the New York Giants in January 1987 and 42-10 by the Washington Redskins in January 1988. They were led by QB #7 who returned to the team a few years ago in some sort of executive capacity where he functions as the de facto team leader.
It is worth noting that the 1987 champion New York Giants might not be playing in this year’s Superbowl but their spirit will be there.
They were also champs in 2008, 2 years ago, following the Superbowl won by the 1929 champion Green Bay Packers. They also lost to last year’s champion Baltimore Ravens in the 2001 SB, 34-7, the culmination of the 2000 tech bubble bursting season and in the midst of the tech meltdown on January 29,2001.
In an interesting coincidence, both of this year’s SB participants, the Denver Broncos and the Seattle Seahawks played the Giants during the year and both played at their stadium in New Jersey(the Meadowlands). Both teams defeated the Giants. The Giant’s QB is Popgun’s brother. He has won 2 SBs to Popgun’s 1.
Hmmm, might have gotten an HO signal…..or observation???? 68 new highs and 80 new lows for $nyse according SC. That’s right around the threshold for a signal.
I am moving my target for a low out to Tuesday or Wednesday. Everything is muddled at this point. Not really oversold but also don’t like seeing inside day red bars for a lot of indices on mildly negative breadth. A lot of hollow candlesticks as well. But then again indices were held up on monster earnings pops from Goog and CMG and I doubt we have any pre-opening earnings releases like that on Monday morning.
I had a low for today because it was the first day after a new moon which has seen a first wave bottom in 3 instances for 3 historical epochs. It still might produce a bottom. Plus we would finish the month down and there would be endless chatter about the January barometer. Plus the start of Yellen’s new term. And a possibly negative Superbowl indicator triggering. All the ingredients in place for a rip roaring in your face contrarian start of the new month rally.
Except the market did not achieve the ideal configuration for a first wave bottom. No final washout to get the pundits in a hysteria and blather endlessly about the January barometer. In a certain historical epoch that the Dow is following quite impressively, the low came in place within the first 3 trading days of the new month. The Dow also did close below its December lows ever so slightly. The $vix looks bullish and is still making new highs. And the euro looks like it’s in a complete freefall at the moment.