The time decay works in your favor when you buy a “at the money” strike and and sell the “out of the money” strike. The further out the strike price, the quicker they loss value. Since you sold them for the higher price, which is used to help finance the purchase of the one's you bought, when you go to buy them back the time decay will make them cheaper.
So that way, you don't get killed on the time decay occurring on the one's you bought as much. They will also have time decay, but not as fast as the other's you sold, because they are further way from the actual price of the stock/etf.
I did the 106/101 because I don't see us going down any further then the 101-102 area before a bounce back up. That 102 area is the moving average line on the daily charts, and should produce a bounce.
I'll close out the spread when we hit that area, and wait until the bounce back up finishes, and then go short again. The next move down should take us to the moving average line on the weekly chart… around 980.
Thanks Red – really appreciate you helping me learn. Why did you buy 106 puts and sell 101 puts? How does that work? Why would you do a spread if you are convinced it is going down? I am long all bearish ETFs but I don't like the way they track and would like to possibly switch some over to options. Problem is everytime I have bought options, I have gotten screwed because of the time decay and the fact that I don't understand them 100%.
15 minute charts are ready to roll down, but the 60 minute chart is still going up. That's why it's choppy, and is putting in that minor wave 2 up that I talked about.
The larger time frames (Monthly, Weekly, and Daily) are all rolling over and will stop any advance the 60 minute chart makes.
Think of each chart as a rank in the military. The larger the time frame, the higher the rank. Lots of people thought there would be a rally, but as soon as the 60 minute chart finishes it's up, it will rollover and then start the minor wave 3 inside larger wave 3. That will probably be late today or tomorrow.
It could then be Black Tuesday, instead of Black Monday? Regardless, once all the charts are pointing down… it's bad news for the bulls!
LOL! Yes, I try to entain… but the charts tell the story SC, with or without and conspiray theroies. By the way, when does a conspiray theroy no long become a conspiray? Answer: When it's true…
I don't want to be rude to Red as I like him and think Red is a good guy. But Red has stumpled across the conspiracy stuffs and unfortunately is in on wild goose chase. I know he means well. But this adventure he is on, is unfortunately unproductive. Entertaining ?yes. Productive? Doubtful. It saddens me to see a rather brilliant mind on this wild goose chase of the shadows. May be I should drive down to whereever he lives and gives the man a good whack on the head. Some good old fashioned, wall to wall counselling. lol
Once the 60 minute chart finishes it up move, we'll start to move down again. Should be done by late today, or early Tuesday.
The time decay works in your favor when you buy a “at the money” strike and and sell the “out of the money” strike. The further out the strike price, the quicker they loss value. Since you sold them for the higher price, which is used to help finance the purchase of the one's you bought, when you go to buy them back the time decay will make them cheaper.
So that way, you don't get killed on the time decay occurring on the one's you bought as much. They will also have time decay, but not as fast as the other's you sold, because they are further way from the actual price of the stock/etf.
I did the 106/101 because I don't see us going down any further then the 101-102 area before a bounce back up. That 102 area is the moving average line on the daily charts, and should produce a bounce.
I'll close out the spread when we hit that area, and wait until the bounce back up finishes, and then go short again. The next move down should take us to the moving average line on the weekly chart… around 980.
See the charts above…
Thanks Red – really appreciate you helping me learn. Why did you buy 106 puts and sell 101 puts? How does that work? Why would you do a spread if you are convinced it is going down? I am long all bearish ETFs but I don't like the way they track and would like to possibly switch some over to options. Problem is everytime I have bought options, I have gotten screwed because of the time decay and the fact that I don't understand them 100%.
15 minute charts are ready to roll down, but the 60 minute chart is still going up. That's why it's choppy, and is putting in that minor wave 2 up that I talked about.
The larger time frames (Monthly, Weekly, and Daily) are all rolling over and will stop any advance the 60 minute chart makes.
Think of each chart as a rank in the military. The larger the time frame, the higher the rank. Lots of people thought there would be a rally, but as soon as the 60 minute chart finishes it's up, it will rollover and then start the minor wave 3 inside larger wave 3. That will probably be late today or tomorrow.
It could then be Black Tuesday, instead of Black Monday? Regardless, once all the charts are pointing down… it's bad news for the bulls!
Very choppy. Can go in either direction (as usual :)). Trusting red, Serge and my gut. Staying short – will hang on through a bounce.
hey Monica… Yeah it's a bit flat ain't it?
Interesting day so far. Everyone expecting a bounce. We shall see.
LOL! Yes, I try to entain… but the charts tell the story SC, with or without and conspiray theroies. By the way, when does a conspiray theroy no long become a conspiray? Answer: When it's true…
I don't want to be rude to Red as I like him and think Red is a good guy. But Red has stumpled across the conspiracy stuffs and unfortunately is in on wild goose chase. I know he means well. But this adventure he is on, is unfortunately unproductive. Entertaining ?yes. Productive? Doubtful. It saddens me to see a rather brilliant mind on this wild goose chase of the shadows. May be I should drive down to whereever he lives and gives the man a good whack on the head. Some good old fashioned, wall to wall counselling. lol
You have been watching Babylon 5 too much, Red. The Shadows are back……. But Ivanova is soooo hot!