I note that $vix closed a gap today. There are no gaps above, but one gap below that will get filled. Eventually.
You might try drawing a trendline chart on $vix, connecting the bottom of the white candle during the 3rd week of April to bottom of the white candle from the 4th week of may. I wonder if there is a trendline there that extends up and the last 3 candles on the $vix broke below it, and this is a backtest of that line.
We are now in a Full Moon Trade, which tends to favor TNA.
TNA opened down 0.8%, and the opening gap was filled. TNA was up 0.3% at it’s high, and closed down 3.77%.
AmericanBulls had TNA with a Hold today after it’s buy yesterday. TNA was down today, and is a possible but unlikely sell for Tuesday. Since that buy at $47.52, TNA is up 1.09%.
Volume for TNA today was 16% above it’s 1 month average. Good for TNA. Volume for TZA today was 25% below it’s 1 month average.
$RVX (VIX for $RUT) closed up 3.3% with TNA down 3.7%. No divergence.
TNA closed yesterday above the previous 5 daily closes, and the lower close today repeats that. Good for TNA.
The recent low for TNA was 3 days ago at $38.94. Today’s low was $46.87, 23% higher. Good for TNA.
Today, Ultimate Oscillator for TNA fell from 52.2 to 50.3 (-1.9) while TNA was down 3.7%. No divergence.
MACD fastline is < 0 rising, slowline < 0 falling. Seems to be forming a bottom. Good for TNA.
Bollinger Bands for $RVX (VIX for $RUT): Today, $RVX rose to close near the Bollinger mid line (20 day MA). The fast MACD line is pointing sharply down, the slow line is falling. Good for TNA.
Bollinger Bands for $RUT: Today, $RUT had a small red candle –not much change. MACD fast line is rising & slow line is falling. Neutral for TNA.
NYSE Down volume was 4.8 times the up volume. Bad for TNA. TNA had a higher high & higher low & lower close (Neutral for TNA)
Money flow for the Total Stock Market: $ 3,708 million flowing into the market 2 days ago. $ 610 million flowing out of the market yesterday. $ 792 million flowing into the market today. Good for TNA.
I will post the AmericanBulls candlestick interpretation a bit later.
$VIX has a 7-10 point range some days, or possibly only 1.5 points.
The back test would need to move 4 points — child's play for this maniac index.
Charts in the mail.
DOW JONES weekly triangle pattern
http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010…
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YAHOO INC is showing positive divergence in daily chart
http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010…
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MICROSOFT CORP Oversold levels can trigger a rally
http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010…
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I note that $vix closed a gap today. There are no gaps above, but one gap below that will get filled. Eventually.
You might try drawing a trendline chart on $vix, connecting the bottom of the white candle during the 3rd week of April to bottom of the white candle from the 4th week of may. I wonder if there is a trendline there that extends up and the last 3 candles on the $vix broke below it, and this is a backtest of that line.
Buy signal in daily chart of MICRON TECHNOLOGY
http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010…
Thank you
The Daily view from Americanbulls
TNA was an Hold for today, but closed down 3.8%, and is a possible but unlikely Sell for Tuesday.
TZA was a Wait today, but closed up 3.9%, and is a possible but unlikely Buy for Tuesday.
Of the stocks & ETFs I follow, these are to hold on to:
GLD (gold), UGL (2x Gold)
SPXU (-3x $SPX)
QID (-2x QQQQ)
DXD (-2x DOW30)
The list to avoid:
USO(oil)
AMZN
QQQQ, QLD (2x QQQQ)
The following are possible (but unlikely) buys tomorrow:
UUP(US Dollar)
RWM (-1x $RUT), TWM (-2x $RUT), TZA (-3x $RUT)
SRS (-2x RE)
SCO (-2x Oil), DTO (-3x oil)
ERY (-3x energy)
FAZ (-3x Financials)
DZZ (-2x Gold)
The following are possible (but unlikely) sells tomorrow :
IWM (1x $RUT), UWM (2x $RUT), TNA (3x $RUT)
SLV(silver)
UCO(2x Oil)
ERX(3x energy)
DRI
GS
SPY
The following are quite likely buys tomorrow:
IYR(1x RE), URE(2x RE), DRN(3x RE)
AAPL
DIA
EWG(Germany)
EWQ(France)
EWU(England)
EWX(emerging mkts)
The following are quite likely sells tomorrow:
GOOG
DRV (-3x RE)
EPV (-2x Europe)
Summary: Transition to Bearish
New Sell today on AMZN, QQQQ, QLD (2x QQQQ)
New Buys today on SPXU (-3x $SPX), QID (-2x QQQQ), DXD (-2x DOW30)
Action for TNA or TZA for tomorrow: Possible but unlikely Buy on TZA, Possible but unlikely Sell on TNA
We are now in a Full Moon Trade, which tends to favor TNA.
TNA opened down 0.8%, and the opening gap was filled. TNA was up 0.3% at it’s high, and closed down 3.77%.
AmericanBulls had TNA with a Hold today after it’s buy yesterday. TNA was down today, and is a possible but unlikely sell for Tuesday. Since that buy at $47.52, TNA is up 1.09%.
Volume for TNA today was 16% above it’s 1 month average. Good for TNA.
Volume for TZA today was 25% below it’s 1 month average.
$RVX (VIX for $RUT) closed up 3.3% with TNA down 3.7%. No divergence.
TNA closed yesterday above the previous 5 daily closes, and the lower close today repeats that. Good for TNA.
The recent low for TNA was 3 days ago at $38.94. Today’s low was $46.87, 23% higher. Good for TNA.
Today, Ultimate Oscillator for TNA fell from 52.2 to 50.3 (-1.9) while TNA was down 3.7%. No divergence.
MACD fastline is < 0 rising, slowline < 0 falling. Seems to be forming a bottom. Good for TNA.
Bollinger Bands for $RVX (VIX for $RUT): Today, $RVX rose to close near the Bollinger mid line (20 day MA). The fast MACD line is pointing sharply down, the slow line is falling. Good for TNA.
Bollinger Bands for $RUT: Today, $RUT had a small red candle –not much change. MACD fast line is rising & slow line is falling. Neutral for TNA.
NYSE Down volume was 4.8 times the up volume. Bad for TNA.
TNA had a higher high & higher low & lower close (Neutral for TNA)
Money flow for the Total Stock Market:
$ 3,708 million flowing into the market 2 days ago.
$ 610 million flowing out of the market yesterday.
$ 792 million flowing into the market today.
Good for TNA.
I will post the AmericanBulls candlestick interpretation a bit later.
Overall, Good for TNA for Tuesday.
Simply uncanny how this market moves all over the place, and buying low and selling high is so hard.
Tell Carl, if it's any consolidation… I know exactly how he feels. While he was doing well in this Bull market up, I was of course… losing my a@@. LOL
But seriously, I wish him well too. It's a tough market for both bulls and bears right now.