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... Doug Lautenschlager

week ending 07/17/15….(this is the weekly change)
$DJI….+326, Up 1.8%
$SPX….+50, Up 2.4%
QQQ…. +212, Up 4.2%

futures 07/017/15 …….( % greater on Long or Short from COMMERCIALS traders)
DJI- 12% short….10% increase to SHORT side
S&P- 3% long….2% decrease to LONG side
NASDAQ- 32% short….13% increase to SHORT side * *(see note below)
Russel- FLAT

Silver- 20% short….2% increase to SHORT side
copper- 52% long….11% decrease to LONG side
Gold- 26% short….4% decrease to SHORT side
us oil- 41% short….9% decrease to SHORT side
VIX- 42% long….12% increase to LONG side

** Futures options are from The COMMERCIAL guys (they KNOW much more) there is also reports on all NON-COMMERCIAL options which are really (The Retail Investors)..
So on the NASDAQ, I noticed N-C went from 81% LONG last week to a WHOPPING 300% LONG this week, while Commercial increased 13% more SHORT, making 32% SHORT side.
NASDAQ was up 4.2% this week!
…………….We all should know what this means for the NASDAQ!……………….
Lets see how this plays out in the next few weeks to month!

Have a GREAT weekend all!
$Doug OUT!

... Geccko23

I guess it was GOOG and nothing else today. The operators pulled a good one launching a stock with that market cap 15% in a day.
<<>>>
218 new lows on the NYSE today. HOs going off like crazy the last couple of days.
<<<>>>>
Today is the last 12 I see for awhile but plenty of still promising numerology to come plus we have some nice pattern matching fractals to historical market epochs.
<>>>
The ether didn’t like my BD countdowns or astro updates yesterday, I guess.

... Red Dragon Leo

Today is day 13 on this chart: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CIWpZJJUAAEwHlO.jpg:large So we should pullback some early next week as day 14-16 (next Monday to Wednesday) is seasonality weak.

... Red Dragon Leo

Spot VIX down to 11.77 this a.m., that’s below both the May & June lows and the lowest reading since Dec 5th (11.53). The last 4 times the VIX ticked down to this mid-high 11’s level, it marked the low in the VIX to the very day:

09/19: 11.52
12/05: 11.53
05/22: 11.82
06/23: 11.93
Today: 11.77 so far

In each of these 4 instances, the VIX rallied sharply over the next 2-3 weeks, to: 31.06, 25.20, 15.74 & 20.05 respectively.

(Posted by another trader on another blog. Just thought it was worth reposting).

... Geccko23

NEIN!!! DAS IST MEIN LAND!!!! (not part of my original post)

... Red Dragon Leo

Well, seasonality wise Friday, next Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday are bearish. It’s certainly been one huge squeeze, that’s for sure.

... Doug Lautenschlager

Gaps up daily!
Fear decreasing BUT still in FEAR gauge side:
http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

Will have to say a little shocked with no more QE input!
REALLY looking forward to reading this weeks CFTC report!

... Geccko23

It might be a patriotic day tomorrow. Tomorrow is 17-7-6 in the non US dating format. Could be the reason the PATRIOTS have been winning all those Superbowls lately.
XXXXXXX–my original post didn’t make it through.

... Red Dragon Leo

So far this week looks like the week of June 27th, 2011… and we seem to be tracking that time period fairly well on a week to week basis. The exact day to day movement isn’t exact of course but overall the pattern is similar.

So a lower high (like on July 7th, 2011) could happen again (like this Thursday of Friday) and then a drop next week, bounce back up some the last week of July and fall off a cliff starting the first week of August could be the plan?

That was what happened back in 2011 so I could see a similar pattern happen now in the coming weeks. Of course it might not be exact as it could just drop the next 2 weeks of July like suggested in this chart I got from someone I follow on Twitter.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CJ-FbzjUYAA_vB4.png:large

If it follows that chart then it should bounce into the first 2 weeks of August and then rollover into a nasty crash wave down from there into early September. Of course we have the “possible false flag” day set in the 4th week of August which the gangsters could still make happen… and that should really make the market drop hard!

You all know their favorite saying… “Never let a good crisis go unused” (meaning the overbought market making a well needed correction). So doing a false flag in the middle of a correction is certainly taking advantage of a (technical crisis).