As we close out this week the high put in on Monday, with a 666 close on that day on the SPY, has held and we've been declining slowly ever since. Today should be a "pause" day where the market goes slightly up (like a small degree wave 4, inside the first A wave down), which should setup Monday for a wave 5 down to complete the first series of waves down.

I don't know where it will bottom but if it's a nice drop we should see a nice ABC up into mid-late next week, to make the B wave. Then the bigger C wave down should start and take us into mid-October. This could all accelerate into a shorter time frame though... "if" we get some kind of "event", and that could be a Biblical one, (which would cause a crash), or some other unknown event.

The market already knows about the government shutdown coming at the end of this month, so that's probably priced in now. But maybe they don't believe it will really happen and if it does the market will taken by surprise and tank... who knows for sure? It could be something else too, but whatever it is I can't foresee. I only know that something big is coming. The military has been putting up new fences around the White House, and apparently J.D. Vance called in tons of Admirals and Generals to the White House yesterday... for shat I don't know? But it sure seems like they are preparing for something big to happen soon.

Stay safe and have a great weekend.

Nothing to add really. The market is declining slowly here at first, and that's quite common. Time to just sit and watch and let it play out. I still think the top is in as that 666 SPY close on the day of the high is likely the ritual clue that we won't see 6800.

Have an blessed day.

Today is the 24th and as you may have watched in yesterdays video by Bo Polny this is an important day. However, only God knows the exact day but it should be before September ends. I can say for certain that "if" millions of people disappear in 24 hours the stock market is going to crash. It's not going to hold at the 2 lower FP's I have of 640.44 and 588.79 on the SPY. Not in one day of course but we'll see a crash like move. Another interesting video is from Steve Quayle, who isn't a trader but was told by his sources that the market would crash within the next 1-2 weeks, and also Ed Dowd thinks the same thing. Steve still it will be a 50% crash, but again, he's NOT a trader or forecaster for the market. That's not his specialty. But I have to keep it in the back of my mind as "possible". Here's that video...

Great Tribulation Volcanos, Earthquakes & Tsunamis – Steve Quayle

Now if we don't see a Biblical event then I'd assume we'll pullback to the 640.44 FP on the SPY, bounce and then drop again to the 6000's area where support is at. This could be blamed on the Government Shutdown worries (or "event" if it does really shutdown?). Something will be blamed on it, and guessing is pointless as it could CPI numbers, Job Numbers, Powell saying something the market doesn't like... who knows? I'm patiently waiting though as some big is coming, and this month is the most likely period for it to happen. If it's mild, and just a technical pullback, then we should see a bullish October with much higher prices. If it's Biblical then look out below!

Have an blessed day.

Another squeeze yesterday on the bears and another ritual number close, but on the SPY this time, not the SPX. We closed at 666.84 on it, but I don't know if it means anything yet as the market just keeps going up and up and up with no pullbacks. After this week is over there's nothing bearish yet... meaning the month of October should start a very large rally that could hit 7400+ into November. Yeah, that's crazy but very possible... that's "if" we don't get a nasty drop this week.

I'm very puzzled as to why we haven't pulled back some already. But Martin Armstrong talked about capital coming to America from Europe due to them trying to get a war going with Russia, and when that happens they will lock down the banks so no money can leave. It seems like they have been pouring the money into the stock market now (according to Armstrong). Here's a video of him explaining it...

I thought we'd see some kind of nasty drop before these big move up that he's talking about, but if it doesn't happen this week then I don't think it will happen. It's super hard to figure this out as everything that I thought was going to happen just failed. The only thing left here it seems is some crazy unknown event like what Bo Polny thinks is coming. His video is below...

I don't have anything more to add that hasn't already been said already. It's this week for the pullback as time is running out for the bears. October is expected to be super bullish (yeah, that sounds crazy, but it is what it is).

Have an blessed day.

This is the week where "if" we are going to get a good pullback it should happen during this period. Unless something really crazy happens I'm only looking for the 640.44 FP on the SPY to get hit and pierced. But, it needs to happen quickly for it to be "the low", as if it's too slow the door will be open for it to "only" be an A wave with a B up into the 29th-3rd, and a C down to possibly the 588.79 FP into early October.

I don't give that high odds right now, but it's possible. This all assumes we have topped with the high last Friday, or will top out into the 6800 resistance zone. The ES got within 70 points of it, so it could have one more push left in it, but it could also fall shy and have topped already. The SPX hit 6666.50 during the last half hour of Friday and held that high until the las 5 minutes where another push up higher to 6671.82 happened, then as the last minute it pulled back to close at 6664.36, which certainly stands out with the ritual number.

But I don't think it's "the top" like the March 6th, 2009 low of 666.79 was "the bottom". We still have the big wave 5 up yet to come where we should see 7400+ happen, and likely into early 2026. But if it was to do it into this November I've have to say we've topped early. That's all too far into the future to worry about for now. The only thing I'm interested in is this week as I want to see the pullback happen.

Have an blessed day.

We had another rally yesterday as the market just refuses to have any correction, so you know when we finally see one it's going to be a mini-crash move. There's too much "extreme" on the move up now in many different measurements. But "when" is the big question? I don't think it will be easy to figure out, and while the next resistance zone where a top "could" happen is the 6800 zone on the ES there's nothing to say that we haven't already topped.

There are some ritual number clues that appeared yesterday that are interesting. The SPY hit a premarket high of 665.10, which is 6, 6, and (5+1=6)... or 666. The SPX hit 6656.80, which has three six's in it, so that's a 666 code. And most interesting was the date of 09/18/2025, which is 9, (1+8=9), and (2+0+2+5=9), or 999, and that's a 666 hidden code.

Back on 03/06/09 (drop the 20 in this case) we saw a low of 666.79 on the SPX, which was an "in your face" 666 code. Some are hidden and others obvious, and I could reach some on the date of 03/06/2009 to be a hidden 911 day as 0+3+0+6=9 and 2+0+0+9=11, and 911 was of course a false flag event done by the deep state satanists. The number 911 is the number people call for an emergency too, which is probably another reason they did it on that day.

And while I don't know all there hidden codes those numbers do seems important too them. So "if" the current high from yesterday hold today I might risk another short over the weekend as while I might have an upside target of resistance of 6800 there's nothing to guarantee it will be hit. And with all the things talked about that might happen on the 22nd, 23rd, and 24th we could wake up Monday with a big gap down. This is more of a gut feeling here then anything technical. The market is still in an uptrend and it might continue much longer then most could believe, but I'm a risk taker so I might just take one more shot at a short.

Have a great weekend.

Very tricky yesterday as the market went up and down, up and down, up and down to never breakdown or breakout. And today it breaks out and appears to be making the move up to the next target of 6800 on the ES. I thought we'd see the new 640.44 FP hit and then back up but that didn't happen. I can only think that once this market tops the drop is going to be super fast and feel like a mini-crash move. I have nothing else to add so I'll end here.

Have an blessed day.

Well, we may or may not have topped? I say that because another new FP was found and it's at 640.44 on the SPY. That's only about 200 SPX/ES points lower now, so it's possible that we might see some crazy move happen where we drop to that level right after the FOMC meeting and then reverse back up on Thursday into Friday where we could (I know this is crazy) reach 6800 on the ES to take out the stops above the current all time high of 6696... and then we fall off a cliff next week. Below is that new FP on the SPY...

Now I said yesterday that I could go over all the prior FP's (at least the last year or so of them), and that's what I've done in the chart below. You'll see that most all of the FP's produce a nice "turn" up or down after they are hit, but a couple of them the market just "paused" and after some time it continued in the same direction. One of them was definitely a failed FP as it never hit and "paused" or "turned", which is the one in the March-April drop. There wasn't any reaction at it, so it failed for sure.

Currently we have went past the 655.66 FP and appear to have topped at 662.65, which isn't that much when you look at it on the chart above but point-wise it's a lot... especially when you short at the FP and have to ride out those points against you. I'm not sure whether or not to label it a failed FP as we have started to go down some now. I'll need to give it more time to see if it turns out to produce a nice turn or not.

If we drop to the new FP of 640.44 then I'll label it a success, and then if we rally back up to 6800 or so into this Friday (I don't have any FP for that target) and rollover again I'll be looking for the 588.79 FP to be hit over the next two week. Or, we just by pass the 640.44 FP completely and continue lower all week... or maybe we bounce small from it for a B wave up with it being the A down? But I have to think that if we get a fast 200 point drop today we will see a very strong rally from it tomorrow and into Friday... that's "if" too many bears are short.

If this the drop catches the bears sleeping and traps the bulls then we should only go sideways to slightly up on Thursday/Friday after hitting the 640.44 FP. Lot's of possible moves here, so just be ready for something tricky. Oh... the other possible move is to go up to the 6800 target after the FOMC an into Thursday or Friday. But that 640.44 new FP means something, so it has to come into play some how I think. We'll see.

Have an blessed day.

This is the week where the market should start down, and accelerate into the expected low window of 9/22 - 9/24. The FP was hit last week and pierced a little as it commonly does. All eyes will be on the FOMC this week, so we probably won't see too much on the downside until after the meeting. I still think we are going to drop hard this week and next but it should start slowly. Below is a chart of the SPY with my thoughts...

If I'm wrong we'll start another powerful leg up to 6700-6800 after the meeting instead of tanking. But everything tells me we are going down, not up. The cycles point to a down move the next 2 weeks, and I have no reason to think this time will fail. The "how much" is the hard part to know, so I guess it's possible that it's really small, but considering how overbought we are I just don't see that happening.

Have an blessed day.

The big Fake Print from December of last yesterday was hit and pierced yesterday.  Now we wait and see. Ideally the market chops in a slow move down into the FOMC next week where everyone thinks it's a bottom and a rate cut from them is bullish.  But it should not be bullish as the cycles says we go down regardless of what is said or done.

I think we will drop hard in a fast 4-6 day move down with the FP of 588.79 on the SPY as a very possible   I don't have anything else to add as I've covered everything many times this week and next week.

My thoughts and prayers continue to go out to Charlie Kirk's family.  I know he's in Heaven with Jesus but it's still unreal to know he's gone as he was just too young.  I guess the deep state demonrats are happy as Charlie was making a real impact with bring kids back to God and common sense.  May God send Angels to his wife and kids.

Monday and Tuesday were choppy sideways day, but into the close yesterday (and afterhours) we saw a push higher to "almost" breakout to a new high. Clearly the market is teasing bulls and bears both as it dances between support and resistance. At some point it will breakout and go up and hit the 655.66 FP on the SPY where we should top out at. Will that be today? I don't know, but if so I'll be shorting it. If not, then I'll do nothing as even if we go back down I still don't think it will be a lot and will find support lower to bottom at by tomorrow or Friday. The move down from the all time high of 6541.75 to the low of 6452 might be an A wave of some smaller degree and the rally up from there, to the current high, is just a B wave. That suggests a C down is coming next, but I think it will hold above the 6360-70 area of support, which then sets up the last rally next week into the FOMC on Wednesday where we should hit the upside FP on the SPY. Of course I'm writing this post Tuesday night and by the morning I could wake up to see a breakout and a run up for the FP. Therefore this all assumes that we don't breakout. If we do then the wave count is wrong. I'm only guessing that we'll hit the upside FP next week, but I could be wrong and it hit this week. Patience is the key here as I know it's going to hit soon, and I'm sitting on my hands until it does.

Have an blessed day.

Games, games and more games. The market (SkyNet?) clearly knows the final high before the big drop is the 655.66 FP on the SPY and it keeps teasing everyone by getting close but stopping short by a few points. So far the high has come in on the 5th/8th as I guessed at on my September 3rd morning update.

A low should be around the 11th this week (roughly of course) and then we go back up into the next turn window of the 15th-17th... but the 17th is the FOMC, so that's most likely going to be the top. If they front run it though, and hit the FP beforehand, the meeting should be blamed for the selloff. The market loves to inflict maximum pain on both the bulls and the bears, and if it waiting until the 17th to start the selloff the down move will be over with very quickly as the expected bottom is between the 22nd-24th, which isn't much time from the 17th. I'd love to see it play out like this personally as it will create the most bearishness due to the speed of the drop.

And that will of course be even more powerful for the bulls as all those bears will get a mega squeeze put on them after the low is put in. I don't know what the low will be but my focus will be on the dates where a low should happen. If it reaches the 588.79 FP on the SPY from 6/24/2025 then I'll be super happy and will go long will both feet and hands. The move up should be explosive and reach new all time highs again before the end of October. I think we could even reach 7000 or more by then "if" we get this scenario. If instead we decline slowly into the downside FP it will be much harder to rally that fast. We need to see the short lived flash crash type move from the 17th to the 22nd-24th for the squeeze to happen that quickly, and I think we have a pretty good chance of that playing out.

Have an blessed day.

The market grinded higher yesterday and pretty much did a double top into the close. Today we could see a breakout that rallies up (finally) to hit the FP on the SPY of 655.66, which it should piece by some small amount just like it did with the April low. Remember that the FP's I had back then were for 483.07 and 483.62 on the SPY.

Rare to get two of them but they did mark the low of the correction. The downward pressure was strong then and the pierce through those FP's resulted in a low of 479.47 on the SPY, which is roughly 40 points on the SPX/ES. If we do that again we could see the 6600 area hit, but it's been my experience that "pierces" on the upside tend to be less then "pierces" on the downside. Maybe we only do 20 points through it... I'm not sure? But when we finally hit 655.66 on the SPY it's "Go Time" for me on shorting this pig.

If it goes a little higher I'm fine with that as it shouldn't be a whole lot. If we see it today it would be a perfect trap over the weekend to keep the bulls long seeing the breakout to a new high as bullish. They will all be looking for much higher prices, but for me I trust the FP's as while I may not know the "when" part on them hitting they have proven to me to be very accurate for "turns" in the market. If hit today I'll be shorting it. I still think the first low will be around the 11th/12th next week, which will be the A wave.

Then a choppy move up into OPEX with the FED day on Wednesday being the main focus the market will have. But it should be just a B wave up and the C down into the 22nd-24th should follow. It doesn't matter what Powell does, or doesn't do. The market will find a reason to continue lower and rate cut or no rate cut will be spun as bearish. If you have been patiently waiting like me for the upside FP to short then you need to stay alert today as we might see it.

Have a great weekend.

The market held its' move up yesterday from the low on Tuesday. I don't know the "when" part but I still think we will hit the 655.66 FP before we top. Possibly it hits tomorrow or next Monday? Those dates are the most likely as the market tends to pullback into the 2nd Thursday/Friday (next week) of each month to put in some kind of low before a move up into the 3rd week of the month where OPEX is at.

Now again, I'm not looking for much on the downside next week if we get the top early next week, but it could turn out to be an A wave. Then we get a B wave up into OPEX week as the market will likely be in a choppy mode into the FOMC on Wednesday the 17th. That B wave could trick everyone thinking that if Powell does a cut the market will rally, but if we hit the 655.66 FP beforehand I have to think any rate cut will cause the nasty C wave down into the 22nd-24th where we "could" hit the 588.79 FP on the SPY? At least we should hit the 6100's I think. As for the short term, I don't have much to add. We should float higher into tomorrow or Monday where we should (hopefully) reach the 655.66 FP on the SPY.

Have an blessed day.

Horizontal support held yesterday and we rallied back up half the decline. It's hard to figure out the wave count but I suspect we ended a wave 4 of some medium degree at the 8/4 low and we have been in a final wave 5 up ever since then. It's final target should be the 655.66 FP on the SPY but it's been chopping up and down on the way up to frustrate bulls and bears alike.

Possibly the pullback yesterday was a small wave 4 inside a medium wave 5 up? Or it's just part of a small wave 3 up from that 8/4 low where medium wave 5 up likely started? I'm just guessing that the small wave 1 up ended at the 6508 high on 8/15 and the pullback from it was a small wave 2... leaving the market in a small wave 3 up now. But it could have ended at the 6523 high, I don't know?

That would be a truncated wave 3, which I don't think is likely as it's not long enough when compared to the small wave 1 up. It was from 6251 to 6508, and that's 257 points, so if small wave 3 up started from the 6364 low on 8/22 then it would have to hit 6621 for small wave 3 to equal small wave 1, and that would hit (and pierce) the 655.66 FP on the SPY, which should complete the entire move.

But, small wave 4 down and small wave 5 up would still be needed to complete medium wave 5, and large wave 5 (from the April low where it all started. I guess that's possible as there's no rule with FP's that say they can't be hit once and retested again later. Meaning we could double top basically with small wave 3 and 5 both hitting and piercing the FP. Anyway, nothing to do (at least for me) but wait as I'm not shorting until the FP is hit.

Have an blessed day.

Very frustrating to get so close to hitting the FP to mark the top to stop shy and pullback. This non-sense is designed to trick bears into thinking we are starting the much excepted correction, but this is not it. We will hit the 655.66 FP before we see a 10% correction, but I have no idea on the "when" part? I continue to just patiently watch and wait as I can't successfully swing trade this market. I will say that the week after OPEX in September is typically a bearish one. This assumes we continue to chop the next few weeks and not hit the FP this week as then the correction should already be in play going into the end of the month, so it would be a bottom. But right now it's looking like we are going to see the market continue this slow dance for awhile longer.

Have an blessed day.

I want to examine the past a little today as while (again) I never know the "when" part that any real FP gets hit they eventually hit, and a "turn" happens the majority of the time. Some turns are big and others small but turns do happen. I have to use technicals to guess at how big the turn will be and I think it's obvious to everyone now that this market is very overbought now so the turn coming should be a big one.

When you look at the chart above you can see that the two FP's on the SPY from last year that I found on the Yahoo site did finally hit, and they hit perfectly and reversed hard afterwards. I have no reason to believe that the upside FP of 655.66 isn't going to be hit either. I don't know the day, but it should be this week. Maybe before NVDA earnings this Wednesday after the close, or after it? I don't know which but once it's hit we should see the market peak and rollover for the next 2 weeks. Patience is key here and those that wait will be rewarded.

Have an blessed day.

We didn't get the flush out first and squeeze afterwards that I was hoping for unfortunately.  I would have loved to have got long on it last Friday if it would have happened.  But the market just went straight for the squeeze. That's fine with me as I've been waiting for weeks now for the FP on the SPY to get hit and it's looking like it will be hit early this week... maybe today, who's knows?

It's a big short in my opinion as my history of these big FP's (one's that are way away from the current price when they come out) are that they are pretty much guaranteed to produce a turn. The intraday FP's are hit and miss... some hit the next day and some don't do anything as the market just ignores them.

They are "late fills" in most cases when they are close to the price level the market was at a day or so prior. But FP's that are no where near the current price levels are real "fake prints" that will be hit at some point in the future. This 655.66 FP came out on December 16th, 2024 and the price of the SPY was nowhere near it at the time, so it was (and "is") a real FP.

It's finally going to get hit this week it seems and we will get a "turn" back down from it. How much is anyone's guess but I think we could pullback to the FP from June 24th, 2025... which is 588.79, and when it came out the market was in an uptrend and had not see that price since June 2nd, 2025. This mean it's NOT a "late fill", as I've never seen a late fill that was done 22 days later.

No... they are always done with 24 hours (maybe 48 hours), but never 22 days. That is a real FP in my opinion and "could" be the target for the coming pullback? Again, I don't know the "when" part on any FP's but the market is ripe for a nice correction that gets the bears all woke up again and calling for a crash. But if this move down happens fast enough it will get the charts nice and oversold and that tells me it will be the end of the down move and that last rally up to 7400+ should follow.

NVDA has earnings after the close this Wednesday, so it could be used for that last move up to the FP on the SPY... that's assuming we don't hit it beforehand as then it might be used to tank the market.  Either way, once the FP is hit it's GO TIME for the Bears as we can see a 10% pullback happen before it's all done.

Have an blessed day.