This is the Holy Grail of leading indicators. Scroll down to “Monthly Leading, Coincident and Lagging Indexes” and look at the green line. That is leading. Then look at the blue. That is coincident. Notice how the green line makes an abrupt 180 and dives. Notice how the blue has just topped. NOW, notice how the green line drops farther than it has since 1974.
they’ll (all risk assets, starting with precious metals, corn, eurusd, equities) all turn between wed-friday….and dollar index ST bottom….It’s expiration, month end, qtr end and the charts are lining up for this….
I don’t anticipate a crash, but a sharp move down for sure on pmetals, corn, even ES…
Thanks for the FP definition…I forgot to mention…if you look at the August Fed schedule, you’ll notice that the temp ops were reverse repos, to take money out of the market, creating a very smooth trip down. Aug 4 was the first since Dec 11, 2009.
One very interesting factoid is that the Fed explicitly states the list of reverse repo counterparties, but not the permanent ops list. Take into account the fact that they are on their way to hiring 400 traders in the NY Fed, tells me that they don’t want anyone to know exactly where the money is going.
I still think we’ll have another headfake, but when the money dries up Oct 7, we won’t even have another buyback schedule until Oct 13. But then again , the mysterious counterparties may want to leverage the last $10 billion to drive the market down. In either case, lot of volatility soon.
looks like a bollinger band pinch on the VIX. The breakout remains unknown but odds favor an upside breakout first, because of bullish sentiment being at extremes and second, because of the wedge the vix is making.
That said, look at how many unfilled gaps are below. The question is: Will the ones below get filled first or the ones above?
Fake Prints (FP) are prints that never actually happened. They are do by “The Powers That Be” (TPTB) to tell those friends and buddies (aka, other crooked banksters) where they plan to take that stock or etf in the future.
You need to be on the “inside” to figure out the date that it’s going to happen, but they put the target for it out in public for all too see.
All of those FP’s I posted in this weekend update will be hit. At that point you should expect a reversal to happen, so you should exit all shorts by then.
I just revisited one segment of that episode and I see many embedded 9-30s. Under the first number 4: 10: 24—-as I mentioned CRMs ticker prints 78.0 down 3.6 and Cramer points to 78.0. Underneath 78 is the ALKS print 10.67 which lined up with the 78 is 10-87. 10.67 also lined up with -3.6 becomes 9-30 or 3 x10. -3.6 is also lined up with 10 in the 4:10:24 above it becomes 30 and with 3.6 becomes 9-30. As I said it’s a lot harder to visualize and analyze without the video.
One last link – I’m on the West Coast, so it’s early yet –
http://www.businesscycle.com/resources
This is the Holy Grail of leading indicators. Scroll down to “Monthly Leading, Coincident and Lagging Indexes” and look at the green line. That is leading. Then look at the blue. That is coincident. Notice how the green line makes an abrupt 180 and dives. Notice how the blue has just topped. NOW, notice how the green line drops farther than it has since 1974.
Moral of the story…sit tight.
they’ll (all risk assets, starting with precious metals, corn, eurusd, equities) all turn between wed-friday….and dollar index ST bottom….It’s expiration, month end, qtr end and the charts are lining up for this….
I don’t anticipate a crash, but a sharp move down for sure on pmetals, corn, even ES…
Big news:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-09-28/ireland-leads-surge-in-sovereign-default-swaps-on-bank-system-bailout-cost.html
Looks like it’s bad or worse. Fasten your seat belts.
Thanks for the FP definition…I forgot to mention…if you look at the August Fed schedule, you’ll notice that the temp ops were reverse repos, to take money out of the market, creating a very smooth trip down. Aug 4 was the first since Dec 11, 2009.
One very interesting factoid is that the Fed explicitly states the list of reverse repo counterparties, but not the permanent ops list. Take into account the fact that they are on their way to hiring 400 traders in the NY Fed, tells me that they don’t want anyone to know exactly where the money is going.
I still think we’ll have another headfake, but when the money dries up Oct 7, we won’t even have another buyback schedule until Oct 13. But then again , the mysterious counterparties may want to leverage the last $10 billion to drive the market down. In either case, lot of volatility soon.
looks like a bollinger band pinch on the VIX. The breakout remains unknown but odds favor an upside breakout first, because of bullish sentiment being at extremes and second, because of the wedge the vix is making.
That said, look at how many unfilled gaps are below. The question is: Will the ones below get filled first or the ones above?
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$VIX&p=D&yr=0&mn=8&dy=0&id=p39746751270&a=205689112
Most everything we talk about is based on the S&P500 (SPX and SPY), and can be applied to the DOW too, as they trade insync together.
New post everyone…
Fake Prints (FP) are prints that never actually happened. They are do by “The Powers That Be” (TPTB) to tell those friends and buddies (aka, other crooked banksters) where they plan to take that stock or etf in the future.
You need to be on the “inside” to figure out the date that it’s going to happen, but they put the target for it out in public for all too see.
All of those FP’s I posted in this weekend update will be hit. At that point you should expect a reversal to happen, so you should exit all shorts by then.
Can you post a link to a screen shot of it Z? Thanks.
I just revisited one segment of that episode and I see many embedded 9-30s. Under the first number 4: 10: 24—-as I mentioned CRMs ticker prints 78.0 down 3.6 and Cramer points to 78.0. Underneath 78 is the ALKS print 10.67 which lined up with the 78 is 10-87. 10.67 also lined up with -3.6 becomes 9-30 or 3 x10. -3.6 is also lined up with 10 in the 4:10:24 above it becomes 30 and with 3.6 becomes 9-30. As I said it’s a lot harder to visualize and analyze without the video.