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Sundancer, are you saying that it is unlikely we could have a 100 SPX drop (over the course of several weeks) without the market gapping down below the trendline at the open?

9:47 est GS 153's

SPY gaps up, $VIX gaps up, GS falls out of bed! LOL

GS trending down.

Carl’s morning call:

June S&P E-mini Futures: Today's range estimate is 1205 – 1217. A swing to 1270 is now underway.

1201.25–1213.75 actual last Friday (12.50 points)
1216.75 high last night
1205-1217 estimate for today (12 points)
1213 currently, so estimate is -8 to +4 from here (Bearish)

It looks like we are going straight up to 11,816 dow first…

Let's keep things ultra simple
SPY has only been significantly below it's green TL on 3 different occasions in the past 430 calendar days.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/47091634@N04/45544

All 3 of those occasions started with a initiation gap below the green TL with an acceleration downthrust.
Until that happens, don't expect SPY to change it's behavior.

The green TL should be in the $SPX 1265-1285 region around the summer solstice.

Hi Red,nice post… I have a video on Goldman Suks and a write up on my blog, go read it you will like my banter of the crooks

http://hotoptionbabe.com/2010/04/25/more-goldma

Hi Red,nice post… I have a video on Goldman Suks and a write up on my blog, go read it you will like my banter of the crooks

http://hotoptionbabe.com/2010/04/25/more-goldma

The Weekly view from Americanbulls

TNA had a weekly HOLD signal last week, rose this week, and remains a Hold. The candlestick this week is a Long White Candlestick.
AmericanBulls has this trade starting at $44.23 on March 3rd, and this week closed at 70.78, up 60%.

TZA had a weekly WAIT signal last week, fell this week, and remains a Wait. The candlestick this week is a Black Candlestick.
AmericanBulls last placed a SELL on TZA at $9.83 on February 19th and this week closed at $5.41, down 44.9%.

Summary of Positive ETFs & a few popular ETFs & stocks (Market positive):
Hold: TNA(3x, up 60.0%), AAPL(up 38.4%), UWM(2x, up 37.3%), IYR(1x RE, up 22.7%), IWM(1x, up 17.1%), QQQQ(up 17.5%),, USO (oil, up 4.8%),
New Confirmed Buy: URE(2x RE)

Action for TNA or TZA for tomorrow: none