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TNA closed up 2.2% today.

Volume today for TNA was normal.

The close of the market today ended this Full Moon Trade.
[ After eleven days, this trade is UP 0.8% ]

The New Moon Trade, generally a positive for TZA, has started.

RVX (VIX for RUT) spiked up at the open, then fell all day, closing 1.2% lower.

TZA has been down four days in a row, the last two days with large red candles. Overall, it looks like TZA should fall again on Tuesday.

However, the switch from one moon trade to the other has in the past shifted the momentum of TNA & TZA, so the expectation is instead for an up day for TZA.

if there is a gap up, it will be a big one
remember the gap window from 2/4/2010 is @ 109.03
once the futures start to penetrate that area it will be an avalanche of people trying to unwind short positons

there's a 4% chance of a gap down, but it would take a monster gap down to get below the controlling tendline on the daily, http://www.flickr.com/photos/47091634@N04/43517
until there is a gap below that trendline no selling will stick

Are saying a gap up 13-17 points next Tuesday?

Hello sundancer390

Is the 390 for 390 million?

how to you come to such conclusions

In TZA at 10.08 after hours, starter

Holding over the long weekend

SPY closed 108.38 @ 4:15 est futures closing

slight violation of max containment @ the close
big blocks came across the last 15 seconds
odd close for a holiday weekend, a lot of it was algos co-relational to the 3 consecutive gap situation
13-17 pt SPX gap is possible for Tuesday
http://www.flickr.com/photos/47091634@N04/43522

this is from jaywiz (straus) blog on Red's blog list. someone names Riza or something sent this in:

Stock Trader's Almanac 2010: Has Wed & Thurs marked bullish , but bearish Friday.
Friday, the day before President's day weekend, S&P down 15 of last 18.

Monday: CLOSED for President's Day
Next week: bullish Tuesday,
However the Monday before Feb. Expiration the Dow has been down 4 of the last 5.

Wed, Thurs Friday: down into Expiration.
Dow has been down 7 of last 10 Fridays of Feb. Expiration.

I agree with serge Monica… Rising wedge don't break UP! I'm staying short over the weekend. I think California will be the bad news over the weekend. I see Black Tuesday coming…

I guess I'll just have to take the 4% chance that that doesn't happen.