Yesterday, the Bear “Knocked Out” the Bull cold, but today the Bear only squeaked by with a few point victory.
Tomorrow morning we get the Initial Claims and Continuing Claims numbers at 8:30 am EST, before the bell. What will they be? Will the government continue to use their magic eraser to make the numbers look more positive to the market?
Or, will they actually release the “real” numbers and cause more selling in the market? It’s clear too me that they plan on taking it down to our fake print number of Dow 10,000… which will probably be about 1055 spx. But, that doesn’t mean it will go straight down. There will be bounces along the way, as they’ll need to squeeze out some of the shorts before the final sell off.
So where does the market bounce at? Will it be at 115.00 spy, or the next support level of 113.00? Maybe those levels will only produce intraday bounces, and the only major bounce will be at the 200 dma? Most all traders know that any moving average that the market hasn’t hit in a long time, will be good for a solid bounce.
Well, the 200 dma hasn’t been hit in a very long time. You can be sure that a bounce will occur there, and it should be a multi-day bounce. Currently the 200 dma is at 1094.07, and rising every day. It should be just under 1100 within the next week or so.
So, if the market doesn’t sell off anymore tomorrow or Friday, then it’s going down hard next week. Two more days of wild swings like today, only to put in a candle bar of indecision at the close of each day, will be the makings of a beautiful bear flag pattern on the daily chart.
That could lead to one really nasty sell off on Monday, if it plays out that way? You know how the government likes to mix in really positive news with the really negative news… confusing both bulls and bears. That’s why you could see a swing higher tomorrow, and then another swing lower… only to end the day looking like today did.
It could look exactly like January 25th (compared to today), the 26th, and the 27th (which would be like this coming Friday). If it plays out like that, then Monday is going to be ugly! I don’t know if it will or not, but I’m staying short for now.
I’ve changed my mind about going long at 115.00, as I would just feel more comfortable staying short until will hit the 200 dma. Then I might go long for a few days swing trade, and finally get back short again, looking for the final low around 1055 spx.
So for tomorrow… it’s a wild card! Being short I could get squeezed a little tomorrow, but I’m riding it out… as this ship is sinking, she just doesn’t know it yet. She could just drop another 200 point tomorrow? There was a nice bear flag formed on the 10 minute charts today… meaning that it should sell off in the morning. But, it could rally back up by the end of the day, as it’s just a guessing game at this point…
Red
BLACK MONDAY IS FINALLY HERE...
Related posts:



Pingback: Wynona Diciano
Pingback: Rowena Enrico
Pingback: Otis Shimko
Pingback: Wii Cheats
Pingback: articles euthanasia
Pingback: discounts and vouchers
Pingback: outdoor bedrooms
Pingback: psychic interactive
Pingback: Anti Wrinkle
Pingback: Weight Loss
Pingback: office equipment
Pingback: compare prepaid card
Pingback: london photocopiers
Pingback: discount office equipment
Pingback: montre gps
Pingback: http://www.veloenfant.org/
Pingback: HVCC compliant
Pingback: cliquez ici
Pingback: cardiofréquencemètre
Pingback: horseshoe cock ring
Pingback: whiteceramicwatch.net
Pingback: white ceramic watches
Pingback: south australian working visa agent in adelaide
Pingback: disque dur interne
Pingback: No nicotine Patch
Pingback: four micro onde
Pingback: Social Bookmarking
Pingback: excavator bucket pins
Pingback: 1916 mercury dime
Pingback: Information
Pingback: gaming blog
Pingback: Conservatorship San Jose
Pingback: Auto Accident Lawyer Bellevue
Pingback: Makeup Artist In Miami, Florida
Pingback: plumbing supplies
Pingback: podiatre montréal
Pingback: naples real estate
Pingback: make facebook fan page
Pingback: where to buy pepper spray
Pingback: Home Acne Treatment
Pingback: skeleton watch
Pingback: automatic watch
Pingback: black ceramic watch
Pingback: montre hello kitty
Pingback: office equipment
Pingback: caisson de basse
Pingback: bain de soleil
Pingback: montre femme guess
Pingback: custom ties
Pingback: Gemstone Jewelry Online
Pingback: Marriage Do Not Do It
Pingback: photocopiers kent
Pingback: stuhrling skeleton watches
Pingback: Scottsdale DUI Lawyers
Pingback: tente de camping
Pingback: autoradio gps
Pingback: site
Pingback: bottes fourrées pas cher
Pingback: friteuse sans huile seb actifry
Pingback: TUV Rheinland Safety Guy
Pingback: http://www.garminforerunner305.fr/
Pingback: white watch
Pingback: http://balancebros.com/index.php/2011/11/check-out-the-new-iron-man-3/
Pingback: site
Pingback: echelle telescopique
Pingback: hoodia products
Pingback: white watches
Pingback: robot menager
Pingback: lit parapluie graco
Pingback: http://www.planchagaz.net/
Pingback: Degenerative Joint Disease
Pingback: Mike
Pingback: montres femmes
Pingback: sac à main pas cher
Pingback: mens automatic watches
Pingback: robot multifonction moulinex
Pingback: gps moto
Pingback: trampoline avec filet
Pingback: helzberg engagement rings
Pingback: piscine autoportante
Pingback: téléphone fixe
Pingback: casque audio sans fil
Pingback: disque dur externe pas cher
Pingback: sorbetiere
Pingback: imprimante laser couleur
Pingback: site
Pingback: telephone fixe sans fil
Pingback: tables basses
Pingback: phentermine discount
Pingback: phentermine adipex phentermine
Pingback: John
Pingback: decodeur tnt
Pingback: montres homme
Pingback: http://www.montreautomatique.net/
Pingback: aspirateur balai
Pingback: cliquez ici
Pingback: barbecue gaz plancha
Pingback: paul
Pingback: turbine a glace
Pingback: cuiseur vapeur
Pingback: Buy Facebook Fans
Pingback: barriere de securite
Pingback: barbecue electrique
Pingback: walking liberty
Pingback: ceramic watches
Pingback: friteuse sans huile
Pingback: trampolineavecfilet.com
Pingback: Iron Man 3
Pingback: Iron Man 3
Pingback: montre gps garmin
Pingback: self defence cat keychain
Pingback: montre gps running
Pingback: siege auto bebe
Pingback: cafetiere expresso
Pingback: friteuse electrique
Pingback: trampoline pas cher
Pingback: plancha electrique
Pingback: Fantastic Excuses for Giving Personalized Jewelry
Pingback: Iron Man 3
Pingback: Carpal Tunnel Blog
Pingback: atkins diet success stories
Pingback: Ringing Ears Blood Pressure Medicine
Pingback: thejojobaoil
Pingback: What kind of Jewelry Watch is right for you?
Pingback: unique hoodia side effects
Pingback: rasoir electrique
Pingback: Sell Silver Santa Monica
Pingback: diet menus
Pingback: Know more about Buy k2
Pingback: hotel booking
Pingback: Marketing SEO
Pingback: Google SEO marketing
Pingback: Free SEO Analysis
Pingback: Minnesota SEO
Pingback: personal injury claims
Pingback: personal injury
Pingback: Net speed test
Pingback: table à langer