Thursday, May 2, 2024
Home Blog Page 91

Capitol Report: SEC, industry to dig into Aug. 24 volatility that hit ETFs, big-cap stocks

0

[ad_1]

SEC


On Aug. 24, there were big gaps in the values of the E-mini and SPY exchange-traded fund -- which track the same index, the S&P 500.

The Securities and Exchange Commission’s go-to-group of industry professionals on the stock market will meet to discuss a single day of trading last summer that raised questions over the operation of exchange-traded funds and equities more generally .

The SEC’s Equity Market Structure Advisory Committee, made up of regulators, academics and representatives of fund managers, brokers and stock exchanges, is planning a Feb. 2 meeting to discuss the events of Aug. 24 and “certain issues affecting customers in the current equity market structure.”

On Aug. 24, U.S. stocks and equity-related futures markets experienced extraordinary volume and significant price volatility, particularly at the 9:30 a.m. start of regular trading hours. There were big gaps between the value of underlying indexes and the exchange-traded funds that track them, and many of the largest-cap stocks experienced brief swoons that were 10% or more below their previous close.

It’s not the first time the SEC looked into that day.

On Dec. 29 the SEC’s Division of Trading and Markets issued a research note that explains what happened without drawing conclusions about why the volatility and pricing dislocations occurred or what should be done to prevent such occurrences in the future. The report does discuss the opening process at primary listing exchanges, the triggering of trading pauses and the effects of the market volatility on trading in exchange-traded products, or ETPs.

The day started on a bearish tilt — global asset manager BlackRock, in an October research report, describes global market sentiment in late August “weighing bearishly” on stocks. Even before the markets opened in the U.S. that day, global equity markets were down 3% to 5% and the e-mini S&P 500 future was limit down 5% in pre-market trading. Investors responded to these global macro concerns with aggressive orders to sell, including four times the number of market orders observed on an average trading day, according to New York Stock Exchange data.

Some big names like J.P. Morgan Chase JPM, -0.89% , Ford Motor Co. F, -0.92%  , and General Electric GE, -0.91% experienced temporary price declines of more than 20%.

Many New York Stock Exchange-listed stocks opened for trading later than 9:30 a.m. on the NYSE even though they were traded at other exchanges and off-exchange venues before and after 9:30. Until NYSE-listed constituents of the S&P 500 index were opened on the NYSE, the S&P 500 index still reflected NYSE closing prices from August 21.

The index declined on the opening by 5.2% from the previous Friday close, according to the SEC report. It remained substantially higher than the prices of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY, -0.85% which declined 7.8%. The most actively traded equity-related futures contract, the E-Mini S&P 500, declined to its limit down price of 5% below the previous trading day’s closing price and was paused for trading from 9:25 to 9:30, the SEC report said.

The S&P 500 index is a reference point used by SEC’s rules to determine whether market-wide circuit breakers are triggered. Because it did not decline by 7%, the level required to trigger market-wide circuit breakers, there was no 15-minute trading pause.

In a note to clients, Themis Trading said they have raised this issue consistently over the past few years and even published a paper titled “Phantom Indexes” where they called on the index providers to change their calculation methodology. In October S&P’s Dow Jones Equity Indices team issued a “consultation” to the investment community, asking them to comment on whether it should change its methodology for calculating the index during market disruptions. A decision has not yet been made.

The disconnect between halts on underlying stocks within indices and the need to price the index resulted in the pricing volatility seen in exchange-traded products. In the October report BlackRock told clients that “a combination of factors impacted market makers,” on Aug. 24. “Seeing an absence of quotations or price indications on many ETP portfolio holdings, unable to effectively hedge due to [limit-up, limit-down] halts, and lacking clarity regarding erroneous trades, market makers were temporarily unable to participate in the ‘arbitrage mechanism’ to align prices properly for a number of ETPs.”

The limit-up, limit-down issues on August 24 were centered at the NYSE, according to the SEC’s report. More than half (51%) of NYSE’s 78 halts lasted more than 6 minutes, with one lasting over 18 minutes. There weren’t as many or as long on the Nasdaq NDAQ, +1.27% , and BATS only had three halts but one lasted 28 minutes.

A spokeswoman from the New York Stock Exchange did not respond to a request for comment.

Joe Saluzzi of Themis Trading says he thinks too much emphasis is being placed on this particular quick fix. “There’s a mistaken consensus that tweaking [limit up, limit down] will solve all our problems. That’s a smokescreen to avoid addressing tougher issues like market fragmentation. Another issue that should be addressed is index pricing. The index providers continue to use only primary market data for their calculations when they should be using the consolidated tape.”

Bloomberg reported that some of the world’s largest issuers of ETFs, including BlackRock Inc. BLK, -1.93% , Vanguard Group Inc. and State Street Corp. STT, +0.04% have held talks with stock exchanges on the issues raised by the Aug. 24 volatility.

BlackRock told its customers that market and stop-loss orders that demand “liquidity at any price” added to selling pressure and proved especially risky on the morning of Aug. 24.

A stop order is an order to buy or sell a stock when it passes a certain price. It then becomes a market order, but it may or may not execute at exactly the stop price. If the order is “good till canceled” it remains open until an investor cancels it or a trade is executed. If a trader put in a market sell order on Aug. 24 they may have been shocked to discover later that it sold down 10 or 20%.

The NYSE has become the latest exchange, after BATS and Nasdaq, to announce plans to no longer accept stop orders and good-till-canceled orders, beginning Feb. 26. From its statement: “Many retail investors use stop orders as a potential method of protection but don’t fully understand the risk profile associated with the order type. We expect our elimination of stop orders will help raise awareness around the potential risks during volatile trading.” Some brokers may continue to take stop orders, but those will be executed by internalizers like Citadel not at the major exchanges.
[ad_2]

Source link

Stock market heads into the negative after morning rebound – Washington Post

0

[ad_1]


People walk by the New York Stock Exchange in New York City. Markets have been rocky since the start of the year. (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

Stock markets started the day in the positive Tuesday, in a sign that investors might be ready to shake off some of the worries over low oil prices and a slowdown in China.

But the optimism didn’t last.

All major U.S. indices rose by about 1 percent at the open, but those gains began to taper off as the day went on. By early afternoon, all three indices were in the negative.  By 3 p.m., the Dow Jones industrial average was down 56 points, or 0.35 percent. The Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index, a broader measure of the largest companies, slid 0.64 percent. And the Nasdaq tech index had lost 1 percent.

The quick reversal could be a sign that many investors are still skittish after watching U.S. stock markets dive last week — closing their worst-ever two-week start for a year.

Some investors may be looking to buy stocks while they’re cheap, analysts say. But markets might continue to slide until investors get more clarity about how the domestic economy will be able to handle any ripple effects of slower economic growth in China.

“People are trying to time this market, and they don’t want to buy in when stocks are falling,” said David Kelly, chief global strategist for JP Morgan Funds. “I think there’s a lot of nervousness about getting in too early when markets could correct some more.”

China reported Tuesday that its economy expanded by 6.9 percent in 2015, the slowest pace in nearly 25 years. Still, the numbers may not have been as bad as some economists and analysts had feared. The Shanghai Composite index, a benchmark index in China, rose 3.2 percent Tuesday and is down 15 percent for the year.

The International Monetary Fund also announced a lower forecast for global economic growth. It now predicts the economy will expand by 3.4 percent this year, down 0.2 percentage points from what it expected in the fall.

For investors in the United States, the uncertainty over global growth raises questions about whether the Federal Reserve acted too soon late last year when it raised short-term rates for the first time in nearly a decade.

When Fed officials meet next week, some investors may be looking for reassurance that the Fed will move cautiously in the wake of the increased volatility, said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist for Federated Investors. “Investors have to know that the Fed is not going to blindly hike rates in this environment,” he said.

Investors will also scour corporate balance sheets for hints on whether the domestic economy may be able to stand on its own even as growth slows in China. Both Bank of America and Morgan Stanley reported fourth-quarter profits Tuesday morning, contributing to the initial rally.

Read more:

The do’s and don’ts of a market crash

These are the only people who should be worried about stock volatility right now

Jonnelle Marte is a reporter covering personal finance. She was previously a writer for MarketWatch and the Wall Street Journal.

[ad_2]

Source link

The Margin: Wealth inequality is 100 times worse than income inequality

0

[ad_1]

As the world’s elite gather in the Swiss Alps at the World Economic Forum in Davos this week to press the flesh and discuss critical global issues, the increasing divide between the haves and have-nots promises to remain a hot topic.

On Monday, Oxfam published a report on how rising inequality continues to pose a profound challenge for political leaders. Last year, just 62 people held wealth equivalent to the amount owned by 3.6 billion, about half the world’s population, according to the anti-poverty charity.

Max Galka of the Metrocosm blog, using government data, added some visual context in a post entitled, “Income inequality is big, wealth inequality is 100 times bigger.” He said much of the focus tends to be on the growing disparity between incomes, when the real measure is wealth.



Galka then drilled down to focus on just the tip-top of the rich list, showing that the combined net worth of four U.S. billionaires is almost as much as the total wealth of the bottom 40% of U.S. households, which amounts to about 128 million people.



Galka also pointed out that his post isn’t an indictment against the wealthy. “In fact, there are few people I have more respect for than Bill Gates,” he said. “The world would be a very different place if it weren’t for entrepreneurs like him. And on top of it, he is now using his money to help others.”

Curious about where you stand among the global rich? You might be surprised. Enter your numbers here and see how you stack up.
[ad_2]

Source link

ES Morning Update January 19th, 2016

4

d426dbcb-eeec-43d9-a4aa-c9018fad2c1fFutures are hitting the falling trendline of resistance again this morning.  Next resistance is the other falling trendline.

Futures are hitting the falling trendline of resistance again this morning.  Next resistance is the other falling trendline.

The 4 hour and 6 hour are still in negative territory with more room to go up.

Last week we rallied up on the 13th strongly to hit the falling trendline and then rolled back over and erased it all the next day (and more).  Will this time be the same?  Tough question of course as we know how SkyNet mixes it up a little from time to time.  Once us sheep finally see a pattern it is quickly changed and doesn't work the next time around.  This leads me to believe that we won't drop to a new low today like we did the last time.  Possibly we make an "inverted head and shoulders" pattern today by pulling back to make the right shoulder?

My thoughts are that while I don't think the low is in yet for this move down we could have a small rally early this week.  Traders are just coming back from the MLK holiday, which should lead to light volume today.  I don't see any clear edge for taking a long or a short today.  Right now the charts are mixed.

The SPX Cash is still buried in the dirt and really should come up for air some today, which leads to the theory that the futures won't drop to another lower low today as well.  The SPX wants to come up while this 60 minute ES Futures chart wants to go down.  Hence the word "mixed" charts today.  Since we have been going down for several weeks now it suggests the bears will again pounce at the open.  For me though, I'd be more excited to short from that 2nd falling trendline... maybe tomorrow or Thursday?  But without a clear edge one way or the other today it's just a gamble to trade... which I'll leave to the day traders.

Airbus to Supply Helicopters to Uber – Nasdaq

0

[ad_1]

MUNICH—Airbus Group SE will provide helicopters to Uber Technologies Inc. for its on-demand services, the European plane maker's chief executive said Sunday.

"Its a pilot project, we'll see where it goes—but it's pretty exciting," Airbus Chief Executive Tom Enders said in an interview with The Wall Street Journal at the Digital Life Design conference here.

The project will launch at the Sundance Film Festival in Utah this week, he said. Airbus didn't provide financial details of the agreement.

The U.S. tech firm first tested its UberChopper service between Manhattan and the Hamptons in 2013. The company also has experimented with the helicopter rides for special events, such as at the Cannes Film Festival in May or the Bonnaroo Music and Arts Festival in June.

Uber has charged between several hundred and several thousands of dollars for those rides.

The company will offer Airbus H125 and H130 helicopters for the Sundance project and has partnered with Air Resources, a Utah-based operator of H125 helicopters, an Airbus spokesman said.

Uber will dispatch a car to pick up clients for the chopper rides, the Airbus spokesman said. Uber couldn't immediately be reached for comment.

The move signals Airbus is expanding its search for helicopter customers as demand from some of its traditional clients has been hurt by low oil prices.

Oil and gas companies traditionally have been a key market for Airbus's most expensive commercial helicopters, but low commodity prices has caused them to cut back on the purchase and use of choppers.

The helicopter-sales business struggled in 2014 and slumped further last year, Mr. Enders said in December.

Airbus's relationship with Uber comes as Europe's largest aerospace company is trying to expand its ties to Silicon Valley in California.

Mr. Enders has moved in that direction to ensure that Airbus remains innovative at a time when technology giants such as entrepreneur Elon Musk, Google-parent Alphabet Inc. and Facebook Inc. embark on aerospace projects ranging from building rockets to beaming Internet from high-altitude aircraft.

Airbus last year established a $150 million fund in Silicon Valley to make technology investments. The unit, Airbus Group Ventures, last week announced its first investment, putting money into collaborative engineering company Local Motors.

In discussing the situation in Iran, Mr. Enders said the country presented a "tremendous opportunity" for many industries. His comments came a day after Iran's transport minister signaled the country would buy 114 Airbus airliners after sanctions that prohibited such deals were removed.

The European Union and Iran said Saturday many of sanctions imposed by the U.S., the EU and the United Nations would be lifted immediately after Iran completed the steps needed to implement July's nuclear deal.

"It's a huge market and I really hope that those who are party to this agreement really don't screw it up," Mr. Enders cautioned.

He said the Iranians are flying "very old aircraft" and current assessments shows the country will need between 400 and 500 aircraft in the coming years. Iran also generates a lot of engineering talent, he noted.

"We are studying our way forward in view of this new environment in full compliance with all international laws," an Airbus spokesman said Sunday.

Mr. Enders also expressed optimism about the future of China's economy, despite recent turbulence with the country's stock market. The aerospace industry, he said, faces high entry barriers due to technology and enormous development costs. "But if you want to bet on somebody—bet on the Chinese," he added.

Robert Wall in London contributed to this article.

Write to Rebecca Blumenstein at rebecca.blumenstein@wsj.com and Natalia Drozdiak at natalia.drozdiak@wsj.com

[ad_2]

Source link

Semiconductors: 2015 in Review; Where to Bet Your Chips in 2016

0

[ad_1]

Editor's Pick: Originally Published Tuesday, Dec. 22.

It would seem "eat or be eaten" was the strategy of the year for semiconductor companies in 2015. Led by Apple (AAPL - Get Report) supplier Avago Technologies (AVGO - Get Report) , which paid $37 billion for chip giant Broadcom (BRCM - Get Report) -- creating a combined entity that was the world's third-largest wireless technology company by revenue -- companies with big bankrolls and and small growth prospects went shopping for growth engines that would have otherwise taken years to build.

It was likely Avago's deal-making that accelerated talks between rivals Intel (INTC - Get Report) (down 3.87% thus far in 2015) and Altera (ALTR) , and ultimately convinced them -- after weeks of rumors -- that their $16.7 billion merger was in their best interest. Will there be more deals in 2016? You can bet on it. Before we dive into some possibilities, let's take a look at where things stand today, and which stocks look like solid buys for long-term gains.

Although the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index  (SOX) (down 3.87% in 2015) may end year off its 2015 lows, it's still down some 9% over the past six months, against year-to-date declines of 1.83% for the S&P 500 (SPX) index. And the SOX has been a huge disappointment when compared its 2014 gains of almost 30%. Take a look at the chart. SOXX Year to Date Total Returns (Daily) Chart
SOXX Year to Date Total Returns (Daily) data by YCharts

The struggles of the SOX mirror the declines of some prominent names like Intel and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) (down 8.24% in 2015). But few beaten-down chip stocks offer the appeal of Qualcomm (QCOM) . With its shares off about 36% in 2015, QCOM stock should be bought now as a possible bounce-back candidate.

Must Read: 2 Hot Stocks in Taiwan's Booming Tech Sector That Deliver Both Value and Growth

It's true, owing to struggles in its wireless chip business and being left out of Samsung's (SSNLF) Galaxy S6 phones, the San Diego-based semiconductor giant hasn't had a good year. But it does pay a strong 48-cent quarterly dividend that yields about 4% annually based on its current trading price in the neighborhood of $48.50. Qualcomm's yield is twice the 2% yield paid out by the average stock in the S&P 500 index. And based on fiscal 2016 consensus estimates of $4.18 a share, QCOM stock is trading at less than 12 times forward earnings, compared to the forward P/E of 17 the S&P 500. This makes QCOM, which has a consensus buy rating and an average analyst 12-month target of $60 -- around 24% above current levels -- a great buying opportunity today.

Another chip name to love in 2016 is Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) , which makes high performance analog chips that connect people, places and things. While its stock -- at around $78 a share -- has done well in 2015, up some 5%, the shares have fallen more than 30% since reaching their 52-week high of $112.88 in June. And I would put Skyworks at the top of the list at potential takeout targets in 2016.

Why? Aside from being a well-positioned player in the realm of the Internet of Things, Skyworks -- like Avago -- is key parts supplier to Apple -- its products are prominent within iPhones and iPads. So what's good for Apple is likely good for Skyworks, and with sales estimates for the iPhone 6 and 6 Plus for the quarter  ending in January at 75 million devices, it would seem Skyworks' stock has tons of runway left. And that doesn't even include its growth prospects in IoT.

From my vantage point, Skyworks would make a great target for Qualcomm, which has tons of cash (roughly $17 billion on its balance sheet) and slowing growth. Qualcomm should consider a deal for Skyworks to expand its product portfolio and better diversifying its wireless businesses.

Finally, there's Atmel (ATML) , which is an industry leader in touch controllers and sensors. Headquartered in San Jose, Calif., Atmel wants to revolutionize touch in non-traditional products, including automotive applications. Some of its key platforms include its latest maXTouch solution and its new XSense technology -- both used in various types of touch screens. And these products are seeing better-than-expected demand.

What's more, in 2015 Atmel initiated a 4-cent per share dividend -- the company's first cash dividend in its 30-year history. With ATML stock down 20% from the 52-week high it hit six months ago, now is a good time to place a long-term bet. Assuming Atmel can grow fiscal 2016 earnings at a 15% annual rate, these shares -- trading around $8.70 today -- can reach $10 to $11 in 2016.

[ad_2]

Source link

Twitter and 7 Other Large-Cap Tech Stocks That Will Kill Your Portfolio in 2016

0

[ad_1]

Editor's Pick: Originally Published Tuesday, Dec. 22.

The year is quickly coming to a close, which means it's time to clear your investment portfolio of underperforming stocks.

That means selling these eight technology stocks now. Sounds counterintuitive given that that the tech sector has widely outperformed the S&P 500 this year, up 9.5% vs. 0.15%, respectively, but the large-cap stocks below are all rated "sell" by TheStreet Ratings, TheStreet's proprietary ratings tool. So if you're holding onto these stocks, get out of them now.

TheStreet Ratings uses a quantitative approach to rating over 4,300 stocks to predict return potential for the next year. The model is both objective, using elements such as volatility of past operating revenues, financial strength, and company cash flows, and subjective, including expected equity market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and forecasted company earnings.

Buying an S&P 500 stock that TheStreet Ratings rated a buy yielded a 16.56% return in 2014, beating the S&P 500 Total Return Index by 304 basis points. Buying a Russell 2000 stock that TheStreet Ratings rated a buy yielded a 9.5% return in 2014, beating the Russell 2000 index, including dividends reinvested, by 460 basis points last year.

Here's the list of tech stocks to sell. When you're done check out the tech stocks to buy for 2016.

[ad_2]

Source link

Saudi stocks lead regional market crash – Press TV

0

[ad_1]

Saudi Arabia leads a collapse of stock markets across the Middle East a day after Iran emerges from decades of sanctions, allowing the country to ramp up oil production.

Saudi index on Saturday slumped to its lowest level in five years as it sank 7 percent after Brent oil fell below $29 a barrel.

The kingdom is adopting a raft of austerity measures to adjust state finances amid fears of a recession in a country which is long used to surplus oil revenues.

Saudi Arabia’s current budget is reportedly based on an average oil price of about $40. Analysts say if oil stays at current levels, the country’s rulers will have to slash spending further which could lead to a recession.

Ironically, Riyadh is behind the price collapse after raising output to record levels in a bid to put the shale oil out of the market or possibly pressure Iran and Russia with their balance sheets.

On Saturday, while all seven stock markets in Persian Gulf states tumbled, the Iranian stock index gained one percent, making it one of the best performing markets in the world with gains of six percent since the start of the year.

The dramatic moves came after the US, the UN and Europe removed sanctions on Iran, allowing the country to move ahead with its bid to redeem its share of the oil market with stepped-up production.

In a televised address on Saturday, President Hassan Rouhani said Iran plans to attract at least $30 billion in foreign direct investment over the next five years.

Saudi stocks slump to their lowest levels in five years.

Saudi stocks slump to their lowest levels in five years.

Iran's Minister of Petroleum Bijan Zangeneh (L) ushers former German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder to a meeting in Tehran, Jan. 12, 2016. ©Shana

Deputy Petroleum Minister Amir-Hossein Zamaninia said the country is ready to increase its crude oil exports by 500,000 barrels a day (bpd).

"With consideration to global market conditions and the surplus that exists, Iran is ready to raise its crude oil exports by 500,000 barrels a day," he said.

In the Persian Gulf states, panic gripped traders in response to a fresh tumble of oil and global equity prices.

Qatar’s index fell 6.7%, while Abu Dhabi’s stocks tumbled 4.5% to the lowest level since November 2013. Kuwaiti stocks lost 3.2%, plunging to the lowest level since May 2004, and Bahraini equities edged 0.5% down.

Across the wider Middle East, Egypt's index slumped 5.2%.

With prices at a 12-year low, oil dependent economies of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates could see more spending cuts in 2016.

The stock markets in Dubai and Saudi Arabia have lost 42% and 38% respectively, ever since Saudi Arabia decided to ramp up oil production in November 2014.

[ad_2]

Source link

Can Alphabet Take on Facebook With This Messaging App? — Tech Roundup

0

[ad_1]

Alphabet (GOOGL - Get Report) is reportedly working on a mobile-messaging service, which could be aimed at market taking share from messaging-dominating companies such as  Facebook's (FB - Get Report) WhatsApp and Messenger service, as well as others Snapchat and Tencent's  (TCEHY) WeChat.

The former Google has entered new arenas before, only to be met with more resistance than it probably hoped for. The company's foray into social media, with its Google+ platform, was no match for the likes of Facebook, Twitter (TWTR - Get Report) and even LinkedIn (LNKD - Get Report) .

However, Alphabet is looking to create more than just a messaging service for its users -- this time it is looking to tap into its artificial intelligence technology. The company plans to use chatbots, which can provide answers for users who type questions into the messaging service. Of course, users will still be able to message friends, too, not just the chatbots.

The company has been working on the service for more than a year, but a launch date and even a name are still unknown.

Shares of Alphabet closed flat Wednesday at $768.51.


Yeah, yeah, yeah! Beatles fans around the world are singing that now because the Fab Four are available for streaming. Although true fans have found many different ways to listen to the band over the years, music lovers in general should be happy about the news.

The Beatles will be available on most major streaming platforms such as Apple's (AAPL - Get Report) Apple Music, Alphabet's Google Play, Spotify and Amazon (AMZN) Prime, among others. Service will begin on Christmas Eve.

Perhaps most notably not on the list is Pandora (P) , but this can be explained. The music streaming service does not do direct deals with artists for on-demand listening. However, but the Beatles' music can be found streaming on its radio service.


Most investors have heard about Amazon CEO Jeff Bezo's futuristic plans to have packages and items delivered to customers via drones. And while the idea sound pretty cool, most of us are aware that for now, Amazon will need to stick to traditional shipping methods.

However, thanks to increased volume and higher costs, Amazon is starting to look into alternative methods -- which could put a direct squeeze on UPS (UPS) , which relies on Amazon as its biggest customer. Aside from using its own delivery drivers, Amazon is looking into leasing cargo jets.

Shipping costs continue to rise for Amazon, ballooning to 11.7% of revenue in the most recent quarter, up from 10.4% just one year ago. Although UPS and Amazon have worked together for years, Amazon has shown that it's willing to do whatever it takes to win.

Bezos & Company has never sought to be mediocre. Instead, the company has continued its rapid expansion, growing from an e-commerce site to now offering video and audio entertainment via Amazon Prime, as well a cloud storage solutions company with its Amazon Web Services business, among other ventures.

So investors shouldn't be too surprised the company is looking at building out its own logistics and delivery network -- with or without drones.

For his part, TheStreet's Jim Cramer, co-manager of the Action Alerts PLUS portfolio, said the news makes him somewhat concerned about shares of UPS, adding, "a spat with Amazon is not what you want right here."

Shares of Amazon ended Wednesday's session at $663.54, virtually flat.

[ad_2]

Source link

Economic Preview: Home buyers may get helping hand from stock meltdown

0

[ad_1]

Bloomberg


Sales of new and previously owned homes continue a steady march higher.

The Federal Reserve recently raised interest rates, U.S. stocks are tumbling and new worries about the Chinese economy seem to emerge daily. So go ahead and buy that house you’ve been looking at.

Well, not necessarily. But consider: all the worries about China that have battered the U.S. stock market in early 2016 have done the opposite for bonds. More money pouring into Treasurys has driven mortgage rates to a two-month low. A 30-year mortgage slipped to 3.92% in mid-January.

The housing market had already been steadily gaining ground even before the latest drop in rates. Indeed, it’s been one of the strongest parts of the economy over the past year. Sales of new and previously owned homes are likely to finish 2015 at the highest level since before the Great Recession.

What’s more, the number of permits to build additional homes is on track to reach an eight-year high.

The final housing numbers for 2015 will start to trickle in this week.

Work on new construction, known as housing starts, is forecast to rise to a 1.19 million annual rate in December from 1.17 million in the prior month. Starts will top the 1 million mark for the second straight year.

Six years ago, builders were producing fewer than 600,000 new homes a year.

Sales of existing homes, meanwhile, are expected to hit a 5.15 million annual rate in December and finish the year about 25% higher compared to the post-recession low.

Most economists predict new construction and sales will increase again in 2016, aided by a much improved labor market. Barring, of course, China bringing the rest of the world to a crashing halt.

“The U.S. economy added more than 200,000 jobs per month on average in 2015, and wage growth is picking up,” noted Stuart Hoffman, chief economist of PNC Financial Services.

In the past three years, the U.S. has produced 8.2 million new jobs to give more people entering their prime earning years the ability to buy a home.

The big wild cards are mortgage rates and home prices, both of which could deter buyers.

The Fed raised a key short-term rate in December for the first time in nearly a decade, and the central bank is widely expected to push rates even higher in 2016. Yet so far that hasn’t translated into upward pressure on long-term Treasurys or home mortgages. Right now investors are more worried about whether a slowing Chinese economy will hurt the rest of the world.

The higher cost of buying a home could act as another repellent. Prices rose in 2015 to levels last seen shortly before the onset of the Great Recession in late 2007.

An expected increase in home construction could make it easier for buyers, though. Permits for new construction in November, for instance, were almost 20% higher compared to the same month in 2014. A greater supply of homes for sale would help hold the line on prices.

While home builders remain optimistic, the same can’t be said for American manufacturers. Sales and profits have softened over the past year because of a strong dollar, weak global economy and a slump among energy firms that are among the biggest buyers of manufactured goods.

A monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve report on the state of manufacturing is likely to show an industry still under siege in January.

[ad_2]

Source link

Heart Transplant for United Airlines President Oscar Munoz – Lighthouse News Daily

0

[ad_1]

United Airlines PresidentThe newly appointed United Airlines president and chief executive officer Oscar Munoz has had to undergo a heart transplant, and has so far impressed doctors with his unusually speedy recovery.

Oscar Munoz started his prestigious career working for Pepsico, and afterwards served as regional vice-president in Coca Cola’s Finance & Administration department.

He continued his upward trajectory as senior vice-president for US WEST, proceeding as chief financial officer at AT&T’s Consumer Services branch.

From May 2003, he began working for transportation giant CSX, occupying increasingly more high-ranking positions such as executive vice president, chief financial officer, chief operating officer and president.

Starting from 2004, he has also shown an interest in United Airline’s operations, serving as board member of United Continental Holdings, which owns the popular carrier.

On September 8, 2015, Munoz was finally appointed as chief executive officer and president at United Continental Holdings, following Jeff Smisek’s resignation, but the sacrifices and efforts required for climbing so high up the corporate ladder must have taken their toll on the executive’s health.

On October 15, Munoz had to be admitted to a Chicago hospital, after experiencing a heart attack. The news regarding this life-threatening medical emergency came as a shock to those who knew the highly resourceful and energetic CEO.

Following a decision taken by the executive board, Brett J. Hart replaced Munoz, taking charge of United Airlines in his absence.

But now it appears cardiovascular problems won’t stop Munoz from resuming his job duties. After having received a heart transplant at the Northwestern Memorial Hospital in Chicago less than two weeks ago, on January 6, the 57-year old University of Southern California business graduate appears to have already made an unexpected recovery.

On Friday, January 15, Munoz issued an employee letter, in which he declares that he feels “as strong as ever”, and that he’s eagerly awaiting to be discharged from hospital.

The note was accompanied by a photograph showing the patient with a broad smile on his face, in the presence of a couple of the surgery team members whose expertise resulted in such a successful transplant.

Following a brief period of recovery and rehabilitation, during which he will continue to be actively involved in the company’s strategic decisions and planning, Munoz is expected to resume work at full capacity, starting from the beginning of 2016’s second quarter.

Meanwhile, during his medical leave, his job responsibilities will continue to be fulfilled by Brett Hart, United Airlines’ former general counsel and executive vice president.

It is hoped that this news will relieve investors’ fears, after Munoz’ surprise heart attack, which was initially kept under wraps by his entourage. After the medical emergency was eventually revealed, share prices were sent crashing down, and caused many to worry about the company’s future.

Despite the fact that United Airlines remains the country’s third-largest carrier by traffic, and the second largest by capacity, it has experienced a slew of problems in the last few years, following its merger with Continental Airlines, which was finalized in March 2013.

As a result, ever since his appointment, Munoz has emphasized his plans to boost employee morale and revamp the company’s reputation, by improving the on-time performance of its flights, and by increasing customer satisfaction, which is currently at an all-time low.

Image Source: Aviation Gazette

[ad_2]

Source link

What Will It Take for 21st Century Fox to Flourish in 2016?

0

[ad_1]

Rupert Murdoch's 21st Century Fox (FOXA - Get Report) is a sprawling, global empire that encompasses, movies, networks and sports in addition to cable-TV systems throughout Europe and India. Yet, sheer size doesn't guarantee success, and it may seem that the bigger the company, the bigger its challenges.

For the year to date, Fox shares, at around $28, are down nearly 28% as the Fox broadcast network suffered a decline in advertising revenue amid lower ratings. CEO James Murdoch has pledged to improve operations at the network as the company seeks to grow its international cable-TV operations, most notably in India.

"Star (India) is one of the more important growth factors along with domestic affiliate fee growth," Brian Wieser, a media analyst at Pivotal Research, said in a phone interview. "Perhaps an improvement at their core broadcast network as well, but in each case this will be based on groundwork already well in place. A favorable turnaround in currencies will help, too, although that's out of their hands."

Fox has beaten long odds throughout its successful history. Over the years the company has made a reputation by challenging entrenched media networks. But while Fox News Channel leads Time Warner's (TWX - Get Report) CNN in total viewers, Fox Business has yet to beat Comcast's (CMCSA - Get Report) CNBC. Fox Sports1, meanwhile, may not have anywhere near the viewership of Disney's (DIS - Get Report) ESPN, but its go-slow approach to sports rights contracts has the network in an enviable position.

Must Read: Media Industry Executives Focused on Mergers, Streaming for 2016

With business booming at the Fox News Channel, the highest-rated cable news operation for many years, the parent made a dramatic move. Two years ago, 21st Century was created when the original News Corp. spun off Dow Jones, the New York Post and its other media operations.

"After the spinoff of its publishing businesses, our risk assessment reflects a vast portfolio of leading entertainment brands that offers an enhanced business mix and geographic diversification, and a continued strong balance sheet with ample financial flexibility," Standard & Poor's noted.

Today, the media industry remains as competitive as ever -- perhaps more so. Media and tech companies have become fierce rivals, with such forces as Apple (AAPL - Get Report) and Netflix (NFLX) flexing their media-minded muscles. Plus, new companies can't be overlooked.

[ad_2]

Source link

Oil glut dampens Iran’s hopes for big cash flows as sanctions lift – Washington Post

0

[ad_1]


An Iranian oil worker bikes through the Tehran oil refinery in December 2014. (Vahid Salemi/AP)

This post has been updated.

Iran is about to get a refresher course in the capricious nature of the oil market and the durable nature of economic sanctions.

When U.S. and other international sanctions were tightened in 2012 and took nearly 700,000 barrels a day of Iranian crude oil off world markets, the price of an average barrel of OPEC oil ran $109.45.

But with the easing of those sanctions today, Iran is poised to boost its sales of oil in the middle of a massive glut, with the OPEC benchmark average barrel selling for just $25, less than a quarter of the 2012 level.

The result will be sharply lower revenue for Iran than its leaders anticipated two years ago when they began negotiations to end sanctions linked to the Iranian nuclear program. The oil glut will force a slower ramping up of Iran’s oil fields and exports than Iran had planned, and it could make international oil companies more wary and tight-fisted about making new investments.

“In many respects, this could not come at a worse time for Iran, because oil is at 11-year lows and the International Monetary Fund has recently offered quite dismal remarks about Iran’s banking system, economic growth prospects and tepid recovery,” said Elizabeth Rosenberg, director of the energy, economics and security program at the Center for a New American Security.

Moreover, the lifting of sanctions on Iran could heighten tension over reestablishing production quotas in OPEC — especially between Iran and Saudi Arabia, the cartel’s co-founders and longtime rivals. Eager to protect its market share, Saudi Arabia has been pumping at high levels despite calls by some OPEC members that the kingdom rein in output to prop up falling prices. Riyadh’s relationship with Tehran was further strained earlier this month when Saudi Arabia executed a prominent Shiite cleric and, after Iran’s condemnation of the execution, cut diplomatic ties.

The return of production in Iran would further fuel simmering tensions. The Iranian’s hinted that they might hold back.

“We don’t want to start a sort of a price war,” Mohsen Qamsari, director general for international affairs at the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), told Reuters on Jan. 6. “We will be more subtle in our approach and may gradually increase output,” Qamsari said. “I have to say that there is no room to push prices down any further, given the level where they are.”

Iranian officials earlier pledged to add a half-million barrels a day within six months and 1 million barrels a day in a year. But Bhushan Bahree, a senior director and OPEC expert at IHS Energy, said the consulting firm is forecasting an increase of only 400,000 barrels a day during the next year.

“I think they’ll go in a little gradually both because it is in their interest to do so for price reasons and for its relations with others in OPEC, like Saudi Arabia,” he said.

For companies around the world, implementation day is like flicking the switch on Iran’s economic relations. Iran will be able to conduct banking transactions through the essential Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication, or SWIFT. Roughly $100 billion in frozen bank accounts will be released, though about half of it will go to pay debts or other commitments.

In addition, the U.S. Treasury Department, as agreed to under the nuclear accord, will lift sanctions that restricted foreign companies doing business with Iran in finance and banking, insurance, energy and petrochemical sectors, shipping and shipbuilding, gold and precious metals, and more.

Many of those companies have been visiting Iran already. For example, the Mediterranean Shipping Co. has resumed direct services to Iran after a three-year hiatus, according to Lloyd’s List, which tracks the shipping business. Lloyd’s also reported that the Maersk Group’s oil division has been talking with Iran about developing the country’s oil fields.

But for most American companies, the lifting of sanctions linked to Iran’s nuclear program will mean little. Many American citizens, companies and banks are barred from doing business with Iran under other sanctions, legislation and regulations tied to human rights, ballistic missiles and terrorism.

There are exceptions for those involved in aviation, health care or medical devices. Health care and medical devices were exempted for humanitarian reasons. Aviation sales are designed to bolster the safety of Iran’s aging fleet of Boeing passenger planes. Several companies have expressed interest in those sectors, according to consultants who spoke on the condition of anonymity to protect business relationships.

Pistachios and carpets, substantial export items for Iran, also are exempted from the remaining sanctions.

As of Friday, the Treasury Department was still completing regulations for the implementation of remaining sanctions. One item in particular — whether foreign subsidiaries of U.S. firms can conduct business with Iran — was being awaited by company executives to see whether it would be a minor exception or a loophole big enough for an oil tanker to sail through.

On Saturday, Treasury said it would issue licenses on a case-by-case basis but announced some guidelines, such as that foreign subsidiaries will not be able to sell Iran any goods with more than 10 percent U.S. content. The department also gave guidance on deals that can be conducted abroad in dollars, which must be cleared through American financial institutions.

But some ambiguity is likely to remain regarding how to define “activities with Iran” that are “consistent with” the nuclear agreement.

Even U.S., European or Asian companies seeking to do business in Iran face hurdles, however. One obstacle is that investors and traders will be prohibited from doing business with more than 200 Iranian or Iran-related individuals and entities who will remain on the U.S. “Specially Designated Nationals List.” Treasury said about 400 others were removed from the list.

Moreover, the country is plagued by high inflation, subsidies, difficulty getting permits and nonperforming loans.
Worse yet, the Iranian economy is dominated by opaque companies linked to the Revolutionary Guard Corps or the clerical establishment, notes Robert D. Hormats, vice chairman of Kissinger Associates. Many of their executives are on the Treasury’s list of prohibited individuals.

A system of “bonyads,” tax-exempt charitable institutions controlled by the clerics, was established after the 1979 revolution with assets seized from the royal family and wealthy individuals. Hormats said that the Mostazafin Foundation, also known as the Foundation for the Oppressed and the Disabled, has become the second-largest commercial entity in the country.

The bonyads report directly to the supreme leader and are believed to control 20 to 40 percent of the country’s overall wealth.

“It’s an alluring and attractive market because of the talent of the people, its diversity and its raw materials,” said Hormats, “but it is complicated because of the structure and because there are so many influential groups that have such power over individual companies and sectors.”

President Obama’s deputy national security adviser, Ben Rhodes, predicted that foreign companies would take a wait-and-see approach.

“It’s not going to be a flood. And frankly the Iranians know that because there’s still a tangled web of other sanctions,” Rhodes said at a Bloomberg News luncheon Friday. “People I think will want to see. One of the benefits of sanctions is it provides incentives for Iran to continue to [adhere to] the nuclear deal. Some companies are going to wait and see is this going to hold, are these guys going to stick to the agreement? So I think it will be a more incremental process.”

[ad_2]

Source link

Forget Twitter and Facebook! Here’s the One Social Media Stock to Buy for 2016

0

[ad_1]

Editors' Pick: Originally published Dec. 29.

As we tally year-to-date stock performances in the final days of 2015, many of Wall Street's erstwhile angels have dirty faces. Chief among them: Chipotle Mexican Grill (down 28%); GoPro (down 72%); and Twitter (down 37%).

But one "trendy" stock that gets a lot of press has held its own: LinkedIn (LNKD - Get Report) . Essentially flat for the year (in line with the S&P 500), LinkedIn has racked up a five-year gain of 146%, vs. 65% for the S&P 500. On average, analysts expect this stock to gain another 22% over the next year, a period that's expected to be mediocre at best for the broader markets.

LNKD Chart

LNKD data by YCharts

LinkedIn is a rare hybrid animal: a social media stock with stability. That's in stark contrast to a group of overhyped and overvalued investments that are poised for sharp tumbles in 2016.

Must Read: 5 Breakout Stocks to Trade for Gains

LinkedIn is the world's biggest professional networking service on the Internet. Based in Mountain View, Calif., the company was founded in 2003 by former PayPal executive Reid Hoffman, who has emerged as a Silicon Valley guru and billionaire.

LinkedIn reported stellar third-quarter operating results that position the company for outsized performance next year. The company's third-quarter revenue increased 37% year over year to $780 million. Adjusted earnings before interest taxes, depreciation and amortization was $208 million, or 27% of revenue, roughly equal with the same period a year ago. Adjusted earnings per share improved to 78 cents, compared with 52 cents in the same period a year earlier.

Management gave full-year 2015 guidance of revenue in the range of $2.975 billion and $2.980 billion. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to come in at about $740 million. Non-GAAP EPS is expected to reach $2.63.

LinkedIn's cumulative membership in the third quarter grew 20% year over year, to 396 million. That's a big jump, but then again, monetizing member bases and viewership on the Web is notoriously difficult, as the demise of many once-dominant media empires attests. Many social media brainchilds have enjoyed meteoric rises, only to crash because they put all of their revenue eggs in one precarious basket.

One big secret to LinkedIn's success is its multifaceted revenue approach through three business divisions that pursue new sales in three distinct ways: recruiting-tools division, marketing-solutions and premium subscription sales.

Unlike peers such as Facebook and Twitter, LinkedIn gets a much smaller portion of its total revenue from advertising, and instead charges users of premium services a fee.

Admittedly, Facebook now has more than 1 billion monthly active users. But most of these users are millennials, a customer base that's mercurial and suffers from a collective short attention span, as opposed to LinkedIn's more affluent business-oriented clientele.

[ad_2]

Source link

Which markets are closed on Martin Luther King Day?

0

[ad_1]

Getty Images


Martin Luther King Jr. on the steps of the Lincoln Memorial on Aug. 28, 1963, where he delivered his famous “I Have a Dream” speech.

U.S. stock and bond markets are closed Monday for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday, but it’s business as usual for markets overseas.

Investors could still get a hint of whether the thinking toward the markets has changed over the weekend after Friday’s battering—futures contracts tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average YMH6, -2.11% S&P 500 index Index ESH6, -1.98% and the Nasdaq-100 index NQH6, -2.62% will trade until 1 p.m. Eastern Time.  Oil futures CLG6, -4.81% also will trade during the New York morning through the electronic Globex platform. The U.S. oil benchmark on Friday plunged to under $30, bringing losses for the week to around 10%.

Trading in all Globex contracts will be halted from 1 to 6 p.m. Eastern.

U.S. stock markets will remain closed, and the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association has recommended that there be no trading in U.S.-dollar-denominated bonds in the U.S., U.K. and Japan.

Currency markets will be open for trading, but volumes are expected to be light during the North American hours.

The holiday won’t close markets in Europe SXXP, -2.82% —or China SHCOMP, -3.55%

[ad_2]

Source link

3 Ways Yahoo! Could Make a Major Comeback in 2016

0

[ad_1]

It was an appalling year for Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO - Get Report) , which has lost one-third of its value in 2015.

In fact, very few analysts seem confident about the stock's ability to mount a recovery. CEO Marissa Mayer is struggling to come up with new and vibrant ideas to make the company relevant again.

Beyond the web of rumors floating around, and talk of splitting the firm (as suggested by some investors), here are three ways Yahoo! could turn it around. On the flip side, these weak and vulnerable stocks are tottering and stand zero chance of recovery.

YHOO Chart
YHOO data by
YCharts

1. Reinforced identity

Must Read: 3 Reasons Why Beleaguered Dividend Star Merck Is Poised to Break Out in 2016

Despite all that's being said, Yahoo!'s CEO-issues aren't really its principal problem.

There's been a great deal of focus on the pressing need to oust current CEO Mayer (who recently gave birth to twins) and bring in a new order, which could apparently set a change in motion.

The Yahoo! board, we feel, is uncertain at this time about the essentials -- what does Yahoo! represent in a shifting global scenario? What lies ahead for this tech pioneer?

Redefining Yahoo!'s core business model is the key towards initiating a turnaround.

At the moment, this is what comprises Yahoo!'s game-changing plan: "Assets and liabilities other than the Alibaba Group Holding Limited stake are scheduled to be transferred to a newly formed company. Its stock would be distributed pro-rata to shareholders resulting in two separate publicly traded companies."

Now, even if this comes to pass, the big question continues to stay unanswered. We still have little clarity on the core of Yahoo!'s invigorated business model. All we know at this point is that the Alibaba stake is deeply valued and will be kept separate from the strategy.

As per Yahoo!'s plan, its assets, including Tumblr (social media, blogging), Flurry (mobile ads/app analytics), and BrightRoll (video ads) as well as a few others will be poured into one company, while the Alibaba stake will go into another.

Yahoo! investors may not think too highly of Yahoo!'s non-Alibaba assets at this time, but there's a lot of speculation about a number of interested players, including Comcast, News Corp., Time Inc., and Verizon -- that could snap up these Internet assets, or at least a part of them.

[ad_2]

Source link

Editas’ IPO Challenge: Edit Investor Expectations as Well as Diseased Genes

0

[ad_1]

Editas Medicine is most definitely the hottest biotech initial public offering of a very young 2016.

But the challenge for the gene-editing startup will be to find public investors willing to wait the two years estimated before its therapies are ready to start human clinical trials.

The Cambridge, Mass.-based company filed papers Monday night for an IPO of $100 million, although the amount to be raised will most certainly change. Editas' proposed ticker symbol is EDIT -- a near-perfect encapsulation of the company's underlying technology, which aims to treat genetic diseases with a type of molecular scissors capable of cutting out defective, disease-causing genes in patients.

This gene-editing technology, known as Crispr, has shown enormous potential in the laboratory and in limited studies in mice, but has not yet been tested in humans.

Must Read: Feuerstein's Heroes and Zeroes of Biotech Investing in 2015

Editas' most advanced product is a gene-editing therapy to treat leber congenital amaurosis, a genetic disease which causes progressive blindness. But Editas is still conducting pre-clinical work and doesn't expect to begin human studies until 2017.

The scientific buzz around the Crispr gene-editing technology will almost certainly generate a tremendous amount of interest from institutional investors for the Editas IPO. The challenge for the company will be to find investors with the patience and risk tolerance necessary to wait out the long clinical development timelines.

Editas "was incredibly selective in terms of their current investors and I think that will continue to be the case with the IPO," a health care investment fund portfolio manager (and early Editas investor) told me via email Monday night.

"I have no idea what percent of the deal will be oversubscribed, but I hope the company doesn't make the same mistake that others have made and allocate broadly to a bunch of flippers, but rather focus on tightly allocating to long-term oriented folks," he added.

The big but botched Axovant Sciences' (AXON) IPO is what Editas needs to avoid. Axovant leveraged a speculative frenzy for Alzheimer's drugs last June when it priced its initial offering at $15 per share. The stock doubled in value on the first day of trading but the excitement faded fast. By the end of summer, Axovant was trading at $11. Today, the stock is barely above the original IPO offering price.

Editas should benefit from the star power and long-term outlook of some of its early backers. Last year, the company raised $163 million in a preferred stock offering bought by Google Ventures, Bill Gates, Fidelity Investments and venture capital firms Flagship Ventures and Polaris Partners. Editas also has an ongoing cancer therapy partnership with Juno Therapeutics (JUNO) .

"The existing syndicate can buy all of the [Editas] IPO and then some, so they will set the price," a venture capitalist not involved with Editas told me. "If there's lots of demand above that, great. If not, the deal will still price well."

[ad_2]

Source link

Hutchinson Shares Extend Slide on Continued FTC Antitrust Review

0

[ad_1]

After recovering somewhat during the last half of December, shares of Hutchinson Technology HTCH continued their downward slide first triggered Dec. 16 when the company announced that its agreement to be acquired by Japan's TDK Corp. (TTDKY) faces an extended antitrust review by the Federal Trade Commission.

Hutchinson, which makes suspension assemblies for hard disk drives, announced its $124 million deal with TDK on Nov. 2. The offer includes $3.62 in cash upfront plus up to another 38 cents per share depending on the outstanding borrowings on Hutchinson's revolving line of credit when the deal closes. The total compensation possible to Hutchinson shareholders is $4 per share.

Hutchinson shares were trading at $3.68 just prior to announcement of the FTC's investigation and dropped to $3.54 over the next five days. The shares then rebounded to $3.60 by the end of the month. Monday, however, the shares slid again, closing at $3.55. The price was unchanged early Tuesday. The stock price is still well above the $1.75 it traded at when the merger was announced at the beginning of November.

Suspension assemblies are critical components of disk drives that hold the read/write heads in position above the spinning magnetic disks. Hutchinson's principal competitors are Nihon Hatsujo Kabusikigaisha, known as NHK; TDK's subsidiary Magnecomp Precision Technology; NAT Peripheral Co. Ltd., which is a joint venture of NHK and TDK. So essentially the merger would leave only NHK and TDK as the globe's two primary producers.

It remains uncertain if the FTC will approve the acquisition of Hutchinson, but if it does the agency will very likely require the NHK and TDK joint venture to be unwound.

When the FTC's extended investigation was announced, the company said it was "cooperating with the FTC staff since the announcement of the merger agreement and are continuing to work cooperatively with the FTC staff."

When the deal was announced, TDK said it expected to complete the deal during the first quarter of 2016. Since announcement of the FTC review, known as a second request for information, it has revised its closing prediction to either late in the first quarter or sometime during the second quarter.

Hutchinson has scheduled a special shareholder meeting to vote on the deal for Jan. 28.

Despite the FTC review, Hutchinson has maintained that competitive pressures in the suspension assembly market, as well as in hard drives generally, makes consolidation necessary. In its latest 10-K filing, Hutchinson officials said, "We believe that consolidation in the disk drive industry . . . has resulted in shifts in certain industry supply chain alignments that have negatively impacted our competitive position since 2008. We believe that the number of entities that have the technical capability and capacity for producing precision suspension assemblies or components in large volumes will remain small."

Technological change, particularly the development of alternatives to hard disk drives, is also negatively affecting the suspension assembly market. "We believe disk drives will remain the primary data storage technology for the foreseeable future," the company said in its annual report.

However, other types of data storage technology, such as solid state storage or flash (semiconductor) memory, have become competitive with certain disk drive applications, and therefore negatively affect the demand for our products. As an example, emerging applications requiring digital storage, particularly consumer electronics products that require lower storage capacity, are using flash memory, which has and may continue to limit growth opportunities for disk drive-based data storage."

To remain in the market, producers will have to be competitive in price, reliability of volume supply, time to market, product performance, quality, and customer service, the company said. "Disk drive manufacturers seek low cost designs and as the disk drive industry has matured and consolidated. "Cost competitiveness, and thus suspension assembly pricing, has become an increasingly important factor to our customers."

[ad_2]

Source link

Global stocks hammered as oil prices push further below $3 – New Vision

0

[ad_1]

"The markets are trapped in a vicious circle," said Alexandre Baradez, an analyst at IG France.

Oilpricesinsert 703x422

Stock markets around the world fell heavily Friday as investors reacted to new 12-year lows for oil prices and a big drop in Chinese equities.

A 3.6 percent drop in the Shanghai index pushed the Chinese market into an official bear market -- defined as a 20 percent fall from a recent high -- and sparked a wave of selling that extended from Frankfurt to Moscow to New York.

"Pervasive gloom," read the title of a Barclays note.

Barclays slashed its forecast for oil prices due to a "worsening" macro outlook and predicted further European Central Bank stimulus in light of deflationary worries. On the positive side, the "pessimism about US growth is overdone in light of solid labor market momentum," Barclays added.

"The markets are trapped in a vicious circle," said Alexandre Baradez, an analyst at IG France.
"The session started off poorly with China, which set things off, leading to oil prices falling, then European markets and Wall Street dropping."

Frankfurt fell 2.4 percent, Paris 2.3 percent and London 1.9 percent. The Dow in the US ended 2.4 percent lower after dropping more than 3.0 percent earlier in the session.

The leading Moscow index dropped 5.8 percent, while Brazil's Ibovespa index lost 2.4 percent.

- Global recession? -

The widespread market losses over the start of 2016 has sparked talk of the potential for a global recession.

David Levy, portfolio manager at Kenjol Capital Management, said such a downturn would likely be less severe than in 2008 because fewer assets are overvalued.

"Even if we are in a global recession, I don't think the damage will be nearly as significant as a 2008-type event," Levy said.

"But certainly the evidence is giving us a higher probability of recession in 2016 and certainly the market is speaking that it believes that is a possibility."

US oil benchmark West Texas Intermediate finished at $29.13 a barrel, taking the losses since the beginning of the year to more than 21 percent.

Industrial metals, including copper, also fell, but safe-haven gold gained.

"Investors are shifting funds into areas of perceived safety including gold and government bonds in hopes of protecting themselves," said Jasper Lawler at CMC Markets UK.

- Automakers skid lower -

European auto stocks tumbled again, with Renault shedding an additional 3.4 percent after unions reported Thursday that anti-fraud investigators had raided several of the company's sites.

Renault ended 10.3 percent lower on Thursday on the news, which raised fears of a Volkswagen-type scandal.

Shares in Peugeot, France's biggest automaker ahead of Renault, fell 2.6 percent in Paris while Renault alliance partner Nissan's stock closed 1.9 percent lower in Tokyo.

Daimler shares lost 1.9 percent, BMW 2.6 percent and Volkswagen 3.5 percent.

In the US, investors hammered banking shares after Citigroup set aside $250 million in reserves for its energy portfolio and warned of a deeper hit if oil prices fall further.

Citigroup tumbled 6.4 percent, while Wells Fargo, which also reported a higher hit from oil, lost 3.6 percent.
Petroleum and technology were two other weak sectors, while Disney tumbled 5.3 percent following a downgrade by Barclays due to worries about sports network ESPN's prospects.

- Key figures around 2200 GMT -

New York - Dow: DOWN 2.4 percent at 15,988.08 (close)

New York - S&P 500: DOWN 2.2 percent at 1,880.29 (close)

New York - Nasdaq Composite: DOWN 3.1 percent at 4,488.42 (close)

London - FTSE 100: DOWN 1.9 percent at 5,804.10 points (close)

Frankfurt - DAX 30: DOWN 2.5 percent at 9, (close)

Paris - CAC 40: DOWN 2.4 percent at 4,210.16 (close)

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 2.4 percent at 2,952.48 (close)

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.5 percent at 17,147.11 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 3.6 percent at 2,900.97 (close)

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0916 from $1.0865 Thursday

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 116.96 yen from 118.06 yen

[ad_2]

Source link

Weakening Chip Stocks Sounding Strong Economic Warning

0

[ad_1]

How's the economy doing? Look at semiconductor stocks.

Global sales of consumer durables and hand-held devices such as cell phones have been sliding, which is a drag on economic growth. These devices run on computer chips, which makes the semiconductor industry a bellwether for the economy.

TheStreet's Jim Cramer said he favors the semiconductor companies whose products do not go into cell phones. However, he said, reports that Apple (AAPL) -- a holding in his charitable portfolio Action Alerts PLUS -- is cutting iPhone production because of weakening demand is tarring all chip companies with the same brush.

"I wish I could take a stand" on such companies as Avago Technologies (AVGO - Get Report)  and Skyworks Networks (SWKS)  "but they are so inextricably linked to the fortunes of Apple that I can't risk it," Cramer said.

Exclusive Look Inside:

You see Jim Cramer on TV. Now, see where he invests his money and why. Learn more now.

From a technical standpoint, the best way to measure demand for semiconductors is by tracking the performance of the PHLX Semiconductor Index and seven of its components: Avago, Skyworks, Applied Materials (AMAT - Get Report) , Intel (INTC - Get Report) , Micron (MU - Get Report) , Qualcomm (QCOM - Get Report)  and Texas Instruments (TXN) .

Must Read: As Apple Cuts iPhone Output, Should You Be Scared About the Stock's Future?

The semiconductor index, also known as the SOX, is a subset of the Nasdaq Composite (NDAQ) . It did not set a new, all-time high in 2015 but it set a multiyear high of 751.21 on June 1. Believe it or not, the March 2000 all-time high for the SOX was 1,362.10. What this implies is that the semiconductor industry has not been providing the economic stimulus most market strategists expected.

Sure, the components of the SOX are different from what they were in March 2000. But the key point is the current components could not drive the SOX anywhere near its all-time high. In the late-1990s it was Federal Reserve Chief Alan Greenspan's fear of Y2K, which influenced corporations to upgrade systems to prevent applications to misfire when clocks touched midnight entering the year 2000. This drove demand for computer chips to the moon. There are no such demand drivers today.

Let's take a look at the weekly charts. A negative weekly chart occurs when the weekly close for the market is below its key weekly moving average with weekly sentiment declining below the overbought threshold of 80.00.

The charts show the key weekly moving average in red, the 200-week simple moving average in green, and the weekly momentum reading is shown in red in the study at the bottom of the chart.

Here's the weekly chart for Applied Materials.


Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith

The weekly chart for Applied Materials shifts to negative from neutral given a weekly below its key weekly moving average of 17.98 if the weekly momentum reading declines below the overbought threshold of 80.00. The current reading is 81.0. A key level to hold is the 200-week simple moving average of 17.07, which held at Thursday's low.

The stock closed Thursday at $17.21. After declining 25.1% in 2015, it's down 7.8% after the first four days of 2016. This puts the stock in bear market territory 33.1% below its multiyear high of $25.71 set on Dec. 23, 2014.

Investors looking for short-term trades should enter a good till canceled (GTC) limit order to buy this stock if it declines to $15.85, which is a key level on technical charts until the end of January. Investors looking to reduce holdings should enter a GTC limit order to sell this stock if it rises to $23.05, which is a key level on technical charts until the end of March.

Here's the weekly chart for Avago.


Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith

The weekly chart for Avago shifts to negative from positive but overbought given a close today below its key weekly moving average of 136.52 if the weekly momentum reading declines below the overbought threshold of 80.00. The current reading is 79.33 but it was 80.70 on Wednesday. A key level to hold is the 200-week simple moving average of 70.39.

The stock closed Thursday at $129.05. After gaining 44.3% in 2015, it's down 11.1% after the first four days of 2016. This puts the stock in correction territory 14.3% below its all-time high of $150.50 set on June 1.

Investors looking for short-term trades should enter a good till canceled limit order to buy this stock if it declines to $122.44, which is a key level on technical charts until the end of 2016. Investors looking to reduce holdings should enter a GTC limit order to sell this stock if it rises to $138.63, which is a key level on technical charts until the end of June.

[ad_2]

Source link

s2Member®