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ES Morning Update March 14th 2016

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0febd079-bcd4-414b-95bc-46feb92d01c0This zone is the gap window to gap fill area from January 2nd and it's still the area I'm expecting to see the market hit before rolling over and starting a multiday downtrend.

Early look at the MACD's show the 2 hour and 60 minute chart dropping some but trying to turn back up.

We are now on the June contract of the ES Futures and it's running lower then the March contract that just expired last.  The numbers are different now but the gap is still "the gap", so nothing has really changed.  The target on the SPX is 2038.20 for gap window and 2043.83 for gap fill.  Somewhere in that range is where I expect the market to end this rally up from the 1800's area low back in January.

As for today I don't see a clear picture.  It looks like it wants to pullback some, which here on this futures chart it has horizontal support around 2000 and a rising trendline of support about 1982 right now (and rising).  So possibly we get some kind of choppy move down into that rising trendline today and early Tuesday.  By then it might have risen to the 1990 area?  Or we just find support at the horizontal line around 2000 and make that final pop higher on Tuesday?

There nothing clear today.  At this point I'm not focused too much on the technical analysis or the elliottwave count as both are being manipulated right now.  My thoughts are based on historical data of the last 18 of 19 years showing clearly that the January 2nd level was revisited in all but one year.  Therefore I think we'll make this revisit too, so we will then have 19 of 20 years for it happening.

I never went back past 20 years, so it could be much more if one wants to do a longer study.  For me though, considering the low odds of the market seeing that January 2nd area later this year, or at any future time this year, I have to strongly believe that they will hit that target area now on this rally up as there's not likely to be another chance late on.  So I'll be waiting for "The Big Short" to appear today/tomorrow or later this week.

ES Morning Update March 11th 2016

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4163181d-1ca3-4b97-97a4-d0fa2525118aBacktest of rising wedge yesterday produced a nice sell off but it didn't hold as is back up again like nothing happened.

Early look at the MACD's show the 2 hour and 60 minute chart ready to rollover, but with trapped bears I bet they just chop sideways most of today and/or go up a little more later today.

Yesterday I had all but given up on the Thursday/Friday low but after that early morning backtest on the futures failed to get back inside the rising wedge and then the market had a nice drop.  Looking at it closer you can now see the A wave down was from last Friday's high to this Tuesday's low.  Then the B wave up started and ended at the open on Thursday, followed by the C wave down.  This wasn't that easy to spot until afterwards.  I think I mentioned something about that lower falling trendline being hit on my Tuesday update?  Maybe it was Wednesday?  But it just grinded higher to hit the upper falling trendline by Wednesday's close.

Then Thursday it gaped up over it and quickly failed to hold after it did the backtest of the rising wedge.  At that point it could have found support at the upper falling trendline but it fell through it and finally went down to hit the lower falling trendline around the 1967 low (March futures contract).  Kinda of a tricky wave that one was, but I still felt strongly that we'd go back up as 18 of the last 19 years have revisited their January 2nd opens and I still expect that to happen.  I don't see it today but I do think we'll get up there sometime next week.

As for today... probably a whole lot of nothing.  The short term charts are overbought but I really don't think they are going to give back any ground on the downside today.  I suspect it will either grind higher slowly or just chop sideways most of the day and go up some near the close.  They want that January 2nd level revisited and I don't see the bulls stopping until they hit it.  I have my Dad's funeral at 11am so I'll be gone all day and won't be in the chatroom.  I may appear to be there as I'll stay logged in but after 11am don't expect me to respond back.  Have a great weekend all and get ready to short big next week.

ES Morning Update March 10th 2016

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8def5194-46a5-4e7d-b597-1224ec8be76eNice backtest of the rising wedge.  If the futures can get back inside the wedge then they might be able to fill a gap in the 2030 area from 12/31/2015.

MACD's reset to bullish on this 2 hour and the 6 hour, 4 hour and 60 minute chart.  The SPX also reset on its' 60 minute chart, but will be making negative divergence with this higher high in the market.

Thinking back to all the things I've learned it natural to forget some of them I guess.  One of those things was something some one told me about the market having a tendency to revisit the yearly opening price at some point that year.  This gap fill of 2030.25 is the end of 2015's close and the open this year was 2018.25 (gap window) on the futures.  On the SPX it's 2038.20 for gap window on the opening day of 01/02/2016, with gap fill at 2043.83 from 12/31/2015.

I just quickly looked back 20 year and noticed that every year except 2013 had one month somewhere that year that came back to the opening price of that year.  So if if opened and went down for January it might come back up in February or March to revisit it, or even later in the year, but it did at some point before the year ended.  Only 2013 opened, ripped higher and never revisited that open before the year ended.

This tells me that there's very good odds that we'll revisit the opening level at some point this year and naturally with it being so close now you have to think it's going to do it within the next week or so before going back down.  Normally I'd say it's possible for it to do it later this year if it fails here this time but considering that we are now in a bear market and very likely put in the high back in May of 2015 I'm not expecting to see this area revisited later this year... so "now" is the likely time to hit it.

So, it might be a slow grind up into later this week or early next week with some small pullbacks but considering that 18 of the last 19 years it did revisit the opening level it might be wise to just let this market chop and grind until it finally hits its' target.  I was expecting a low today or Friday but right now it's looking like we had the low yesterday.  We'll see I guess?  I think I'll just watch for now and not take any shorts (or longs) until I see either that 2030 area hit or something clearly to trade on the short side.

ES Morning Update March 9th 2016

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7e94e905-33e3-48d1-a113-fe2f5950fc91Downward falling trendline still holding and keeping the market from making a higher high.

This lower falling trendline should offer some support on the downside.

The MACD's on aren't showing any clear direction.

The SPX 60 minute chart still looks bearish but the ES Futures are mixed and seem to be holding the market up and preventing a large drop.  While I'm still looking for a low by the end of this week it's certainly not looking like it wants to go down to the 1930 area right now.  But, as we all know, they can drop it all in one day if they want to.  So I'm not ruling it out just yet.

Today I'll be looking for the market test that falling trendline around 1995 or so on the futures.  The short term charts look mixed and don't really support a strong move up or down right now.  But by the end of the day they should align together in the same direction.  If they have a early sell off to that lower falling trendline in the 1970 range then they should align bullish at the end of the day.  If they chop around all day up in the 1985-1995 range then they should align bearish and rollover into the close.  But early on today it's looking like a coin toss on the direction. Neither bull nor bear is winning here, as it's a directionless ship just drifting right now.

Better Business Bureau: Trump Lied About Trump University Rating

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The Better Business Bureau on Tuesday briskly refuted a number of statements that Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has made about Trump University, the now-defunct real estate seminar provider that many students allege was a scam.

In last Thursday's Republican debate, the candidate defended Trump University despite the multiple lawsuits brought by former students and the state of New York.

Challenged by Fox News moderator Megyn Kelly about Trump University's D-minus rating from the Better Business Bureau, Trump said that "right now it is an A."

During a commercial break, Trump was caught on camera presenting the debate hosts with a piece of paper that he said showed that rating. "The Better Business Bureau just sent it," Trump can be heard telling Fox News moderator Bret Baier. "This just came in, we just got it."

But according to the Better Business Bureau, very little of what Trump said is true.

"The BBB did not send a document of any kind to the Republican debate site last Thursday evening," the nonprofit organization said on Tuesday. "The document presented to debate moderators did not come from BBB that night."

As to Trump's basic claim, the watchdog group said, "Trump University does not currently have an A rating with BBB. The BBB Business Review for this company has continually been 'No Rating' since September 2015. Prior to that, it fluctuated between D- and A+."

Following the debate on Thursday, Trump tweeted what he said was the official A rating for the Trump Entrepreneur Initiative, a later name for Trump University.

On Tuesday, the Better Business Bureau said, "The document posted on social media on Thursday night was not a current BBB Business Review of Trump University. It appeared to be part of a Business Review from 2014."

Furthermore, the nonprofit stated, "Trump University has never been a BBB Accredited Business. The document handed to the debate moderators on Thursday night could not have been an actual 'Better Business Bureau accreditation notice' for this business."

Here's the current review of the Trump Entrepreneur Initiative.


Better Business Bureau

Not only did the Better Business Bureau refute Trump's claims about Trump University's current grade; it also refuted his claim that the enterprise has "a 98 percent approval rating from the people who took the course [because] people like it ... many did tremendously well, and made a lot of money."

Here's how the bureau tells it: "During the period when Trump University appeared to be active in the marketplace, BBB received multiple customer complaints about this business. These complaints affected the Trump University BBB rating, which was as low as D- in 2010."

How did it ever have an A rating?

The company closed in 2011, and after that, the Better Business Bureau said, "no new complaints were reported." Complaints that are more than three years old "automatically rolled off of the Business Review, [and] over time, Trump University's BBB rating went to an A in July 2014 and then to an A+ in January 2015."

Trump, however, claimed the opposite was true. He said the Better Business Bureau simply hadn't had enough information about Trump U, and that's why it received a D-minus. "Before they had the information," the program scored poorly, he said, but "once they had the information ... it is right now an A."

More than 5,000 people are suing Trump and Trump University in California, where a class action suit alleges that many students spent more than $30,000 on what they were told would be a real estate investment mentorship, personally designed and overseen by Trump.

Watch the real estate mogul's promotional video for Trump University:

In fact, the former students allege that Trump played no part in designing the course, choosing the teachers or mentoring students.

A second case brought by New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman was cleared by an appeals court to move forward last week. This means voters are likely to hear a lot more about Trump University in the coming months.

The candidate tried to play down the seriousness of the allegations on Thursday, yelling, "It's just a minor case! It's a minor case!" over the voices of debate moderators.

On Monday, Trump also released a video (see below) in which he singled out two people who asserted they'd been scammed by his seminar company. He accused them of saying "horrible things" and warned "we're looking" for a third person.

A spokeswoman for Trump's campaign and a lawyer for Trump's business both declined to comment on the Better Business Bureau's statement.

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Fact check: Trump University’s D- rating

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Donald Trump gets an ‘F’ for a video he posted to YouTube purporting to tell the “truth” about Trump University, the real-estate program that has been the subject of three ongoing lawsuits alleging fraud.

In the video, Trump holds up a sheet of paper showing that the Better Business Bureau gave Trump University an “A” rating, claiming it proves that what he said during the March 3 debate was correct. That’s false. As we wrote in our debate story, the most recent BBB rating for Trump University that we could find for the program was a “D-” in 2010 — which is when the school stopped taking new students.

But Trump keeps insisting he is right, even when the evidence proves him wrong. He tweeted a screenshot of the “A” rating after the debate. He posted a video to YouTube on March 7, criticizing Fox News for refusing to correct the record during the debate. He tweeted about that, too.

Trump video, March 7: "Well, I turned out to be right. Before the end of the debate I gave them [the Fox moderators] the ‘A’ — we had it sent to us — and here’s the ‘A’ rating from the Better Business Bureau, and they refused to put it on that night …. So we have an A rating not a D- rating."

Let this be the last word on Trump University’s rating, and it comes from the Better Business Bureau, which issued a statement March 8 “in response to a number of inaccurate reports that continue to be repeated.”

Better Business Bureau, March 8: During the period when Trump University appeared to be active in the marketplace, BBB received multiple customer complaints about this business. These complaints affected the Trump University BBB rating, which was as low as D- in 2010. As the company appeared to be winding down, after 2013, no new complaints were reported. Complaints over three years old automatically rolled off of the Business Review, according to BBB policy. As a result, over time, Trump University’s BBB rating went to an A in July 2014 and then to an A+ in January 2015.

That means what Trump literally holds out as evidence is meaningless and misleading.

Trump University was never licensed as a university and had to change its name to The Trump Entrepreneur Initiative in May 2010. (The BBB rating Trump holds up in the video shows the exact date as May 21, 2010.) Trump’s program stopped accepting new students in 2010, as Alan Garten, an attorney for Trump and his former school, told CNN in an interview in September 2015 (at about the 1 minute mark).

So, the school stopped taking new students and the complaints stopped, too. That had a direct effect on the “A” rating that Trump now boasts about. The BBB statement says, “BBB ratings are based on information we obtain about a business, including complaints received from the public. The reporting period is three years.” Once the old complaints “rolled off the Business Review,” as the BBB statement put it, the Trump program’s rating went up to an “A” in July 2014. The BBB stopped rating the Trump Entrepreneur Initiative in September 2015.

Trump holds up an image of an “A” rating for the Trump Entrepreneur Initiative, not Trump University. That would have been on or about July 2014 — three years after the school stopped taking new students.

For more about Trump’s misleading statements about Trump University please see our item, “Trump’s Defense of his ‘University'.” That article also covers another misleading claim that Trump makes in the YouTube video about students who took the courses and rated them as “excellent.”

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Better Business Bureau Contests Claim That Trump University’s Ratings Improved

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Signs were passed around Monday before a Trump rally in Concord, N.C.Signs were passed around Monday before a Trump rally in Concord, N.C.Credit Travis Dove for The New York Times

Donald J. Trump has been boasting that his contentious Trump University educational program earned an “A” rating from the Better Business Bureau, but the bureau says it has no rating at all.

Mr. Trump, who holds the lead in delegates for the Republican presidential nomination, is facing a civil fraud lawsuit over Trump University, which was renamed the Trump Entrepreneur Initiative in 2010. Customers have complained that the course was a hoax.

Mr. Trump’s Republican opponents have pounced on the issue as an example of Mr. Trump employing shady business practices. During a debate last week. Mr. Trump insisted that after receiving a “D-minus” from the Better Business Bureau, the program’s rating improved to an “A” once it supplied the necessary paperwork.

He released a three-minute video on YoutTube on Monday explaining the situation.

“We have an ‘A’ rating, not a ‘D-minus’ rating,” Mr. Trump said, holding up a document that showed the Better Business Bureau giving his business an “A.”

But the bureau, a nonprofit organization, said on Tuesday that Trump University had had “no rating” since September and that the document that was circulating on social media appeared to be old. Meanwhile, it suggested that the improvement in Trump University’s rating was because the program was winding down, not because customers were happier with the product.

“During the period when Trump University appeared to be active in the marketplace, B.B.B. received multiple customer complaints about this business,” the organization said in a statement. “These complaints affected the Trump University B.B.B. rating, which was as low as D– in 2010. As the company appeared to be winding down, after 2013, no new complaints were reported.”

Trump University’s rating improved to an “A” in 2014 because reviews roll off of its system after three years.

Hope Hicks, a spokeswoman for the Trump campaign, disputed the notion that there had been any problems with Mr. Trump’s education initiative.

“They gave the program a rating, and they admit that the rating was an ‘A+,'” Ms. Hicks said. “Any lower ratings were given prior to the submission of documentation and other applicable paperwork. Once submitted, the program was awarded an even higher rating than previously shared.”

The Trump campaign did not comment on whether the Trump Entrepreneur Initiative was still operating. The organization’s sparse website offers a login for existing members. The telephone number supplied by Mr. Trump in his “Trump University Truth” video was not in service on Tuesday.

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US stocks pull back in afternoon trading as oil prices drop

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Stocks are pulling back in afternoon trading, led by declines in energy companies as the price of crude oil and other commodities turn lower. Murphy Oil fell 12 percent and oil rig operator Transocean lost 8 percent Tuesday. Traders were also discouraged by weak trade figures from China.

KEEPING SCORE: The Dow Jones industrial average fell 45 points, or 0.3 percent, to 17,029 as of 1:13 p.m. Eastern time. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 13 points, or 0.6 percent, to 1,989. The Nasdaq composite gave up 30 points, or 0.6 percent, to 4,678.

THE QUOTE: "We're overbought," said Chief Investment Officer Bill Stone of PNC Asset Management Group, noting that the S&P 500 is up about 10 percent from mid-February. "People are taking some profits off of the larger run-up from the low."

US stocks pull back in early trading as oil prices drop photo

Specialists Robert Nelson, center, and James Sciulli, right, work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Tuesday, March 8, 2016. Stocks are pulling back in early trading, led by declines in materials and energy companies. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)

SHAKE QUAKE: Hamburger chain Shake Shack plunged $4.80, or 11 percent, to $37.43 after delivering quarterly results and an outlook that disappointed investors.

URBAN JUMPS: Urban Outfitters jumped $4.56, or 16 percent, to $32.72. Late Monday, the retailer reported strong earnings and improved margins during the holiday season. The Philadelphia-based company said it earned $72.9 million, or 61 cents per share, in its fourth quarter ended Jan. 31, better than analysts expected.

DIVIDED AT UNITED: United Continental fell 56 cents, or 1 percent, to $57.05 after two investment firms went public on an effort to add six of its nominees to the board of directors. They also want to give a prominent role to the ex-CEO credited with saving Continental more than a decade ago. The two firms, Altimeter Capital Management and PAR Capital Management, own a combined 7.1 percent stake of the airline.

US stocks pull back in midday trading as oil prices drop photo

Trader Timothy Nick, left, works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Tuesday, March 8, 2016. Stocks are pulling back in morning trading Tuesday as oil prices slip and energy companies drop sharply. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)

OIL FALLS: Benchmark U.S. crude fell $1.08, or 2.9 percent, to $36.82 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It jumped $1.98 on Monday. Brent crude, which is used to price international oils, fell $1.16, or 2.8 percent, to $39.68 a barrel.

CHINA TRADE: China's exports plunged 25 percent in February from a year earlier, as weak global demand and a business shutdown during the Lunar New Year holiday combined to depress sales. Customs data Tuesday also showed imports fell 14 percent.

EUROPE DOWN: France's CAC 40, Germany's DAX and Britain's FTSE 100 each fell 0.9 percent.

US stocks pull back in midday trading as oil prices drop photo

Trader Robert McQuade, left, works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Tuesday, March 8, 2016. Stocks are pulling back in morning trading Tuesday as oil prices slip and energy companies drop sharply. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)

ASIA'S DAY: Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 dropped 0.8 percent and South Korea's Kospi lost 0.6 percent. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index shed 0.7 percent.

CURRENCIES: The euro rose to $1.1046, up from $1.1013. The dollar edged down to 112.77 yen from 113.27 yen.

BONDS: Bond prices rose. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 1.82 percent from 1.91 percent late Monday.

US stocks pull back in midday trading as oil prices drop photo

Trader Christopher Morie works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Tuesday, March 8, 2016. Stocks are pulling back in morning trading Tuesday as oil prices slip and energy companies drop sharply. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)

US stocks pull back in afternoon trading as oil prices drop photo

Trader William McInerney works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Tuesday, March 8, 2016. Stocks are pulling back in morning trading Tuesday as oil prices slip and energy companies drop sharply. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)

US stocks pull back in afternoon trading as oil prices drop photo

Trader Tommy Kalikas works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Tuesday, March 8, 2016. Stocks are pulling back in morning trading Tuesday as oil prices slip and energy companies drop sharply. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)

US stocks pull back in afternoon trading as oil prices drop photo

Traders Eric Schumacher, left, and Daniel Kryger work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Tuesday, March 8, 2016. Stocks are pulling back in morning trading Tuesday as oil prices slip and energy companies drop sharply. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)

US stocks pull back in afternoon trading as oil prices drop photo

Trader George Ettinger, left, works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Tuesday, March 8, 2016. Stocks are pulling back in morning trading Tuesday as oil prices slip and energy companies drop sharply. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)

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Average Wall Street Bonus Down To $146000 And Everyone Is Not Happy

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New York Stock Exchange
The Office of the New York State Comptroller confirmed that the average Wall Street bonus has declined by 9 percent in 2015 to $146,200. The figure is bigger compared to the levels seen in the most recent financial crisis, but smaller compared to figures from 10 years ago.

A statement released by the Office of the New York State Comptroller confirmed that the average bonus paid in the security industry has declined by 9 percent in 2015 to $146,200, spurred by the 10.5 percent decline in industry-wide profits.

"Wall Street bonuses and profits fell in 2015, reflecting a challenging year in the financial markets," wrote New York State Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli in the statement, adding that the ongoing weakness in the worldwide economy and the volatility of markets could also lead to lower profits for this year.

"Both the state and city budgets depend heavily on the securities industry and lower profits could mean fewer industry jobs and less tax revenue," warned DiNapoli.

In 2014, the average Wall Street bonus was reported at $160,280. The figure has declined as brokerages and large banks have been met with low demand for fixed-income products due to the uncertainty surrounding interest rates.

The average bonus figure is still bigger compared to the levels seen in the most recent financial crisis, but smaller compared to average bonus figures from 10 years ago and falling further from the all-time average high of $191,360 recorded in 2006.

DiNapoli, however, noted that while profits were down, employment in New York City in the securities industry increased by 2.7 percent last year, averaging 172,400 jobs over 2015. In addition, 4,500 positions were opened last year, compared to only 2,400 positions opened in the previous year.

The average salary of Wall Street positions remains strong, however, with average salary including bonuses rising 14 percent to $404,800 for 2014 compared to the previous year. The data is not yet available for 2015.

Wall Street bankers are not at the worst of times though. In comparison, the median household income for 2014 in the United States was $53,657, according to the Census Bureau.

What should worry bankers, however, is the fact that big banks in New York are laying off employees to deal with the downturn in banking profits. Last year, Morgan Stanley let go of 1,200 employees, and last week, Bank of America issued the pink slip to 205 people.

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SkyWall gun stops drones dead, then gives a parachute landing

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Nearly every month a new, more advanced drone seems to pop up showing off new designs and performance features.

Similarly, security companies are attempting to keep up with those advances with drone-stopping countermeasures, the latest being the SkyWall.

UK-based OpenWorks Engineering is offering the device — which looks like a gun from a flashforward scene in Terminator 2 — as a means to neutralize drones that spy on celebrities, compromise the security of government officials and are used to transport illegal contraband.

SkyWall
SkyWall100 drone stopper gun.

"SkyWall gives you a physical barrier in the sky," reads the company's description of the device. "The system can be rapidly reloaded, allowing multiple drone threats to be engaged by a single operator."

The most important feature of SkyWall is that it not only stops the flight of a drone but, once it captures a drone, it deploys a mini-parachute, bringing the drone back to earth with no damage, allowing authorities to keep it intact for subsequent investigation.

SkyWall
The SkyWall100 as it captures a drone in flight.

In terms of accuracy, the SkyWall, which is essentially a compressed air launcher in gun form, uses a laser-equipped SmartScope to acquire the target and shoot a smart projectile at the drone. Once the smart projectile reaches the drone, it releases netting at just the right moment to stop the drone's flight.

The device has a range of about 330 feet, operates with what the company describes as "near silent" noise level and can be reloaded in just eight seconds. OpenWorks showed off how the system works in a video (above) posted on Thursday.

Scheduled to be publicly demonstrated next week at the UK Home Office’s Security and Policing Event, the company hopes to see the first commercial versions of the prototype device in use by the end of 2016.

Have something to add to this story? Share it in the comments.

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ES Morning Update March 8th 2016

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043546b5-3f54-4ec2-96ef-3cc5f78acf56New falling trendline of resistance should.

MACD's on the 6 hour chart are drifting now and suggests that this 60 minute MACD won't have much power to rally back up today.  There's also a new falling trendline to hold back any rally that should force the futures to only put in a lower high then yesterday.

Looking at all the hits of this large rising wedge from the 1800 area low, with the lower highs now being made, it's looking more and more like the high was put in last Friday as wedge gets tighter and tighter near the end.  The SPX 60 minute chart is also looking ready to rollover today as well.  With Friday and yesterday's 2 peak highs making a downward sloping trendline of resistance the ideal shorting spot would be a hit of it today at some point.  It's making a small triangle inside the larger rising wedge.  If the market holds the wedge today then it should be stuck inside this triangle staying above the lower trendline of the rising wedge from the 1800 area low and below the new downward falling trendline from the Friday/Monday highs.

This could take all day, but near the close we could see the break of the wedge start, or they just hold us inside it and break it Wednesday with a gap down move?  Either way, it's looking much more likely that we'll start a move down this week that should whack a third or so off this rally up, taking us to the 1930's on the SPX... most likely by this Thursday or Friday.

In the event the falling trendline of resistance is broken-through and a higher high is put in then I'd wait to see if they can push it up to the 2020 area before shorting.  So that trendline would be my ideal spot to short today... hopefully right at the close of the day.  I'd look to exit that short (after taking it near the trendline) when Friday's high gets broken through as then we could see another squeeze up to 2020 (or higher?).  But with the SPX charts looking very close to rolling over I don't see this lasting too much longer.

Gas prices jump by 7 cents over past 2 weeks, to $1.84

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ANDREWS, TX - JANUARY 20: The price of gas is advertised at a fuel station in the Permian Basin oil field on January 20, 2016 in the oil town of Andrews, Texas. Despite recent drops in the price of oil, many residents of Andrews, and similar towns across the Permian, are trying to take the long view and stay optimistic. The Dow Jones industrial average plunged 540 points on Wednesday after crude oil plummeted another 7% and crashed below $27 a barrel.

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Don’t Fall Victim to a Tax Scam In 2016

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Every year, the IRS compiles a dirty dozen list of the worst tax scams, in order to help the American public avoid becoming victims. Some aren't applicable to most people, such as using offshore accounts to avoid paying taxes, but many are perpetrated by scam artists to victimize honest, hardworking taxpayers. With that in mind, here are four scams to watch out for in 2016, and some tips on how to avoid them.

IRS phone scams: Know what the IRS won't do
Every year, thousands of individuals are targeted for phone scams. Since October 2013, the IRS has received reports of nearly 900,000 contacts and over 5,000 phone-scam victims who have collectively paid more than $26.5 million.

Basically, tax-related phone scams typically involve a caller posing as an IRS agent. The caller may use an official-sounding IRS title or badge number, and the caller ID may even show "IRS" or something similar. Often, the caller will tell you that you owe the IRS money, and will try to threaten or trick you into paying -- maybe even by threatening arrest or loss of your driver's license. The "agent" will then demand immediate payment via a wire transfer or prepaid debit card.

In other variations of the scam, callers may tell you that you're entitled to a big tax refund you weren't aware of in order to steal your bank account or other personal identifying information.

The best way to identify and avoid phone scams is to be aware of what the IRS will never do. Specifically, the IRS will never:

  • Call to demand immediate payment, or call at all about taxes owed without sending you a bill first.
  • Demand payment without the opportunity to appeal or question the amount owed.
  • Require a specific payment method. A legitimate IRS tax debt can be paid by check or through one of the IRS' payment processing partners.
  • Ask for a credit or debit card number over the phone.
  • Threaten to have you arrested for non-payment.

If you think a call is a scam, hang up the phone immediately. Report the scam to the IRS. If you think the call may be legitimate, or if you want to see if you actually owe taxes, call the IRS at 1-800-829-1040, and actual IRS employees can assist you.

Identity theft: Safeguard your information and file early
Identity theft has become a serious problem when it comes to tax returns. Scammers will use the identifying information of taxpayers to file phony tax returns with made-up income, deductions, and credit, and then pocket a hefty tax return.

Unfortunately, this is the one scam on this list that isn't 100% avoidable. In fact, many people don't even know they're a victim until they try to file their own taxes, only to find out that a return has already been submitted in their name.

In recent years, the IRS has stepped up efforts to catch and prevent fraudulent returns. In fact, in 2015 the IRS initiated 776 identity theft investigations, resulting in 774 convictions -- the average of which resulted in 38 months of jail time. Plus, the process of dealing with identity theft has improved in recent years. The IRS now provides assistance and a clear road map to resolving tax-related identity theft cases.

Even so, ID theft remains a big problem. The best way to avoid a fraudulent return is to file your taxes as early in the tax season as possible, and to safeguard your identifying information like your Social Security number and address.

Phishing scams: Know what to look for
Similar to phone scams, except using the Internet, phishing involves sending you a fake email or directing you to a fake website in an effort to steal your money or personal information.

Simply put, "The IRS won't send you an email about a tax bill or refund out of the blue," according to IRS Commissioner John Koskinen. In other words, if you get an unexpected email from the IRS, don't even click on it.

When it comes to websites, you should be aware that the official IRS website is www.irs.gov, and any legitimate IRS website will begin with that address. So, if a website begins with some other variation, such as "IRSgov.com" or anything similar, it's a fake.

Can you really trust your tax preparer?
Most tax preparers are honest service providers who will complete your return to the best of their ability, but there are some less-than-honest preparers as well.

There are several forms of tax return preparer fraud. Some encourage you to not claim some of your income, or to invent deductions and credits you're not really qualified for in order to inflate your tax refund. A dead giveaway here is preparers who charge a percentage of your refund -- stay away from those. Other fraudulent tax preparers are simply out to steal your personal information and/or pocket your tax refund.

With that in mind, here are a few ways to be sure your return preparer is legitimate, and to avoid becoming a victim:

  • Ask for the preparer's IRS Preparer Tax Identification Number (PTIN). Paid return preparers are required to have one.
  • Ask if they have any other credentials, such as being a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) or attorney.
  • Ask about fees -- preparers are not allowed to base fees on a percentage of your refund. Avoid preparers who promise a bigger refund than the competition.
  • Ask the preparer to e-file your return -- it's the safest and most accurate way to file.
  • Legitimate preparers will ask to see your records and receipts.
  • Never, ever sign a blank return.
  • Review your tax return thoroughly before signing.

Scams will always exist, so read up on the latest
Unfortunately, as long as there are big sums of money involved, tax fraud will always exist. Therefore, it's important to keep up to date with the latest tax scams to avoid as things evolve. That way, you'll always be a step ahead of scam artists who want to steal your money and you'll have a lower chance of being victimized.

The $15,978 Social Security bonus most retirees completely overlook
If you're like most Americans, you're a few years (or more) behind on your retirement savings. But a handful of little-known "Social Security secrets" could help ensure a boost in your retirement income. In fact, one MarketWatch reporter argues that if more Americans knew about this, the government would have to shell out an extra $10 billion annually. For example: one easy, 17-minute trick could pay you as much as $15,978 more... each year! Once you learn how to take advantage of all these loopholes, we think you could retire confidently with the peace of mind we're all after. Simply click here to discover how you can take advantage of these strategies.

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ES Morning Update March 7th 2016

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958ea004-fe28-4393-9eec-3715bb691f2bMACD's on this 60 minute chart are trying to turn back up.  The first support is from the rising trendline around 1980 current.  The 6 hour MACD is rolling over, which suggests that we could have topped last Friday.

Last Friday we hit a high of 2007.50 on the ES and have been sliding down a little since then.  We had a ritual number close on the SPX of 1999.99, which could be the signal that the high is in?  Hard to know for sure this early on.  But we have the expected Thursday/Friday low coming up for this week, so let's first just focus on that.  Today would could the first wave down from the high, which should find support at the rising trendline around 1980 or so... if that breaks then the falling trend and horizontal support from a prior high in the 1965 area is the next support.

Then a wave back up into the close or Tuesday morning for a lower high should be next.  After that we should see a larger move down unfold in a series of up's and down's to tease early bears and give the bulls false hopes on a rally.  The expected pullback is about 1/3rd of the up move, or 60 points or so, which would be inline for a normal 38.2% pullback.  If it goes deeper then 38.2% then the odds of another higher move up (then last Friday's high) start to weaken and would then suggest the expect move up into next week's monthly option expiration would only put in a lower high.

NOTE:  I will not be available all day long as normal in the chatroom as my Dad died yesterday of a heart attack at the age of 75.  I will stay logged into the room but I may be gone to be with my Mother who naturally will be needing me.  Thanks for understanding.

Sen. Chuck Schumer wants to allow people to block unwanted robocalls

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Sen. Chuck Schumer speaks at a press conference February 11, 2016. The senator would like the Federal Trade Commission to pressure carriers to offer robocall-blocking technology.Olivier Douliery

Sen. Chuck Schumer speaks at a press conference February 11, 2016. The senator would like the Federal Trade Commission to pressure carriers to offer robocall-blocking technology.

U.S. Sen. Chuck Schumer wants telecom companies to slam the handset down on those annoying, automated robocalls by making robocall-blocking technology available to all consumers.

The New York Democrat also wants the Federal Trade Commission to pressure carriers to offer robocall-blocking technology and said Sunday that he’d consider a law forcing them to do so.

“The ‘Game of Phones’ with robocalls has gone on far too long,” Schumer said at a Sunday press conference at his offices in Manhattan.

“Whether its mortgage companies, credit card firms or, even worse, scammers, telephone companies should provide their customers with access to robocall-blocking technology that will eliminate future nuisance,” the lawmaker added.

Hundreds of thousands continue to receive unwanted telemarketing calls and robocalls despite federal “Do not call” rules, a spokesman for Schumer said.

There were 3.57 million complaints about Do Not Call violations in the fiscal year 2015, up from 3.2 million in 2014, according to the FTC.

Schumer said that often such unwanted calls are more than just obnoxious — they’re downright criminal.

Exported.;BW

The i5871 expandable up to eight handsets, has a 65K color LCD screen and downloadable ringtones.

 

According to the Consumers Union, robocall scammers cost consumers $350 million a year, Schumer said.

One recent robocall tax scam threatened individuals, some in New York, by telling victims that they owe money to the IRS, according to Schumer.

Chuck Bell, programs director for Consumers Union, the policy and advocacy division of Consumer Reports, joined Schumer at Sunday’s presser to say enough is enough.

“Nothing drives phone customers more crazy than robocalls,” said Bell. “It’s time for the phone companies to take action and provide their customers with the relief they want and deserve.”

Schumer said it should be easy for phone companies to roll out robocall-killing technology that works much like an e-mail spam box and filters out robocalls and other unwanted phone calls.

“We have the technology to block these robocalls and it’s time for telephone and mobile phone companies to make it available to all consumers,” Schumer said.

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Iran Sentences Billionaire to Death for Corruption

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Babak Zanjani in court on Sunday in Tehran.

TEHRAN — An Iranian court has sentenced a billionaire businessman to death for corruption linked to oil sales during the rule of former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, a judiciary spokesman said Sunday.

The businessman, Babak Zanjani, and two of his associates were sentenced to death for money laundering, among other charges, the spokesman, Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejehi, said in brief remarks broadcast on state television. He did not identify the two associates. Previous reports in the state news media said the three had been charged with forgery and fraud.

"The court has recognized the three defendants as ‘corrupters on earth’ and sentenced them to death,” Mr. Ejehi said. “Corrupters on earth” is an Islamic term referring to crimes that are punishable by death because they have a major impact on society. The verdict, after a trial that lasted nearly five months, can be appealed.

A news website run by the judiciary identified the associates as Mahdi Shams, a British-Iranian businessman who was detained in 2015, and Hamid Fallah Heravi, a retired businessman.

Mr. Zanjani was arrested in 2013 shortly after the election of President Hassan Rouhani, who ordered a crackdown on alleged corruption during the eight-year rule of Mr. Ahmadinejad, his hard-line predecessor. Mr. Zanjani owes more than two billion euros ($2.25 billion) for oil sales he made on behalf of Mr. Ahmadinejad’s government, Iran’s Oil Ministry has said.

The financial dealings of Mr. Zanjani, who is one of Iran’s wealthiest businessmen, with a fortune estimated at $14 billion, have also aroused suspicion in the West. He was blacklisted by the European Union in 2012 and by the United States in 2013 for violations of the sanctions imposed on Iran in connection with its nuclear program.

Iran has in the past executed other wealthy individuals found guilty of similar charges. In 2014, Iran executed a billionaire businessman, Mahafarid Amir Khosravi, over corruption charges.

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Iranian billionaire Babak Zanjani sentenced to death for corruption

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Iranian billionaire ... Babak Zanjani has been sentenced to death for corruption.

IRANIAN billionaire businessman Babak Zanjani has been sentenced to death for fraudulently pocketing $US2.8 billion.

Zanjani, 41, became notorious during the era of president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, finding ways to channel hard currency to Tehran despite financial sanctions imposed on the Islamic republic’s banks as punishment for its nuclear program.

Zanjani was convicted of fraud and economic crimes after a trial.

As well as facing the death penalty, he must pay money to the state in restitution, judiciary spokesman Gholam Hossein Mohseni-Ejeie said at his weekly press conference.

The trial was held in public, a rarity for such a major case in Iran, and two other accused were also convicted of “corruption on earth”, the most serious offence under the country’s criminal code, meaning they too will face the death penalty.

“The preliminary court has sentenced these three defendants to be executed, as well as paying restitution to the plaintiff,” Mohseni-Ejeie said, adding that that was the oil ministry.

They must also pay a “fine equal to one fourth of the money that was laundered”, the spokesman said, without specifying the sum.

Zanjani, who can appeal, had denied any wrongdoing, insisting that the only reason the money had not been paid to the oil ministry was that sanctions had prevented a planned transfer from taking place.

Thrived ... Babak Zanjani became notorious during the presidency of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (pictured). Picture: AP Photo/Eraldo Peres

Thrived ... Babak Zanjani became notorious during the presidency of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (pictured).

However, the case follows repeated declarations from the current government of President Hassan Rouhani that corruption and the payment of illegal commissions thrived under Ahmadinejad’s rule. Other trials are ongoing.

Zanjani had repeatedly said in media interviews that in return for commissions paid by Ahmadinejad’s government he was tasked with circumventing sanctions to get money back to Iran.

In October last year, however, Rouhani’s oil minister Bijan Zanganeh signalled the shifting political balance in Iran, hitting out at the use of middlemen such as Zanjani, who before being arrested had boasted of his personal wealth. Iranian media have put it as high as $US13.5 billion.

Current leader ... the administration of President Hassan Rouhani (pictured) claims corruption thrived under Ahmadinejad’s rule. Picture: Iranian Presidency Office via AP

Current leader ... the administration of President Hassan Rouhani (pictured) claims corruption thrived under Ahmadinejad’s rule. Picture: Iranian Presidency Office via APSource:AP

Speaking after Iran concluded a nuclear deal with world powers, paving the way for increased foreign activity in Iran’s oil sector, Zanganeh urged investors to deal directly with his ministry and avoid third parties.

“We despise the corrupt parasites that want to suck the nation’s blood even in this situation,” Zanganeh said, to loud applause at an oil and energy industry event in the capital while Zanjani’s trial was under way.

“I recommend foreign companies stay away from these corrupt individuals, who know nothing but deceitfulness. They will tell you that until you give us our commission you can’t get your work done. Don’t believe them.”

Zanjani was among Iranian individuals black-listed under US and European sanctions.

20 Things You Should Know About Social Security

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Old Woman PixabayWinston Churchill once described Soviet Russia as "a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma." While that was a politically motivated statement, it may also aptly described Social Security, the federal program designed to provide financial support to our nation's workers in retirement.

Much of the Social Security program remains a mystery to the American public, both working and retired; and if the American public doesn't understand how the program can help them, they'll be unable to take full advantage of its benefits. An AARP survey of financial advisors last year showed that just 1% believed their clients were "very knowledgeable" about Social Security.

With this in mind, let's take a closer look at 20 things you should know about Social Security.

1. It's been paying out benefits for decades: The Social Security Act was first signed into law by President Franklin D. Roosevelt on Aug. 14, 1935, with payroll taxes first collected in 1937 and monthly benefits beginning in January 1940. The program's been paying out benefits for more than 75 years, and it'll continue to pay out benefits for decades to come. Between 1937 and 2009 the program paid out a cumulative $11.3 trillion.

2. It only invests in guaranteed assets: The money held by the Social Security Trust Funds is invested, but only in securities with guaranteed principal and interest. This pretty much limits investments to short- and long-term U.S. Treasuries and special obligation securities issued only to federal trust funds.

3. Both you and your employer are paying into Social Security: Social Security is funded through the payroll tax, which currently sits at 12.4%. You and your employer each pay half of that -- 6.2% of your wages. Self-employed people are responsible for paying all 12.4%.

4. There's a payroll tax cap: The aforementioned 12.4% payroll tax is collected on income up to $118,500 as of 2016. Every dollar earned above and beyond $118,500 is free and clear of the payroll tax.

Worker Pixabay
You have to work to earn lifetime benefits.

5. It's not exactly an entitlement: Social Security covers 94% of American workers, but in order to qualify, a worker will need to collect 40 "work credits" over their lifetime. A maximum of four work credits can be earned each year, with one work credit equating to $1,260 in 2016. Thus, $5,040 in income in 2016 would max out your work credits for the year. Some exceptions for younger workers who become disabled or pass away may apply.

6. It covers more than just workers: Social Security is best known for covering retirees, but it also provides benefits to some workers' spouses and their qualified children, as well as to the disabled, and to eligible family members of deceased workers. Nearly 60 million people received a Social Security benefit payment in December 2015, 40 million of whom were retired workers.

7. Here's about how much of your prior salary the benefits cover: According to the Social Security Administration, benefits paid are designed to replace about 40% of a worker's income during retirement. Based on data from the SSA, this figure is currently closer to 55% for low-income earners, and 27% for maximum earners.

8. You can claim benefits earlier ...: Retirees are eligible to file for benefits as early as age 62, as late as age 70, and anywhere in between.

9. ... But you probably shouldn't, because benefits grow over time: The longer an individual waits to file for benefits, the more their benefits will increase in value. On average, for every year an eligible individual holds off on filing for benefits, their benefit amount will increase by 8%.

10. The full retirement age isn't static: The full retirement age, or FRA, is the level at which an eligible beneficiary can start taking 100% of their calculated benefit. However, the FRA is a moving target: It's changing based on the year you were born. Currently, the FRA is 66 years, but it'll be rising by two months each year for Americans born between 1955 and 1959, officially hitting 67 for those born in 1960 and later. Individuals claiming after their FRA could receive in excess of 100% of their benefit.

Senior Citizen
When you file for benefits matters.

11. There's no minimum benefit: It takes at least 10 years for a worker to qualify for lifetime Social Security benefits, but there's no minimum benefit they'll be eligible for. If a worker earns very little over their lifetime, their monthly benefit payment might be less than $100.

12. There is, however, a maximum benefit: On the flip side, regardless of how much you make during your lifetime, the maximum monthly benefit a worker retiring at full retirement age can expect in 2016 is $2,639 per month. That's actually $24 less than 2015 levels, due to an unusual combination of events: A dip in the Consumer Price Index meant there was no cost of living adjustment (see item 15), while the national average wage index (which is used to calculate SSI benefits) rose.

13. The average retiree's monthly benefit payment is ... :  According to data from January 2016, retired workers were receiving an average of $1,341 per month, or about $16,100 per year. Married couples who are both receiving benefits averaged $2,212 a month, or about $26,500 per year.

14. How long you work matters: The Social Security Administration determines your benefit by averaging your annual income over your highest-earning 35 years of work. If you worked fewer than 35 years, the SSA will average in goose eggs (i.e., $0) for each year below 35 that you didn't work, potentially reducing your benefit by a sizable amount.

15. COLA helps you keep up: The SSA typically adjusts benefits annually to keep them in step with inflation – this is known as a cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA. The indicator that determines COLA is the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W. In 2016, the CPI-W fell, so no inflationary increase was awarded to beneficiaries.

16. Mulligans do exist: Regret filing for benefits at an early age? There's actually a solution. Form SSA-521, also known as "Request for Withdrawal of Application," allows filers to take a mulligan -- but they can only do this within the first 12 months after filing for benefits. They also have to pay back every cent of the benefits received after they filed. But by doing this, their request for benefits will be undone, and their benefits will again be allowed to grow.

Retirement Pixabay
Don't get too reliant on Social Security income.

17. There's a cash shortfall on the horizon: What Soical Security takes in from payroll taxes stopped being enough to cover what it pays out some years ago. And, according to the latest Trustees' report, the Old-Age, Survivors and Disability Insurance Trust (OASDI) that covers the difference is projected to burn through its reserves by 2035. This does not mean the program is going bankrupt, but it could mean benefit cuts, tax increases, or some combination of the two are coming.

18. Blame demographic shifts for the cash shortfall: Two demographic shifts are responsible for the ongoing depletion of the OASDI. First, baby boomers are retiring in greater numbers and there simply aren't enough new workers to take their places. As the worker-to-beneficiary ratio fell, the cash inflow turned into a cash outflow. Secondly, people are living longer than ever, meaning retirees are, on average, drawing down on the Trust for more years.

19. It's actually a very efficient program: As noted last year, the SSA is administered with exceptionally low overhead. The program paid out nearly $840 billion in benefits in 2014; that year, its expenditures totaled a mere $5.6 billion, or 0.7% of total benefits paid.

20. Your Social Security number says something about your past (but new ones won't): Lastly, prior to June 2011 Social Security numbers (SSNs) were doled out partially based on geography. The first three digits were assigned based on the geographic region you were living in when the number was assigned, with lower numbers on the East Coast and higher numbers as you moved West. The remaining six digits were random. Beginning June 25, 2011, the entire process of SSN assignment became randomized.  And no, the program does not reuse SSNs after the people assigned them pass away. You truly are unique!

The $15,978 Social Security bonus most retirees completely overlook
If you're like most Americans, you're a few years (or more) behind on your retirement savings. But a handful of little-known "Social Security secrets" could help ensure a boost in your retirement income. In fact, one MarketWatch reporter argues that if more Americans knew about this, the government would have to shell out an extra $10 billion annually. For example: one easy, 17-minute trick could pay you as much as $15,978 more... each year! Once you learn how to take advantage of all these loopholes, we think you could retire confidently with the peace of mind we're all after. Simply click here to discover how you can take advantage of these strategies.

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Tesla Motor’s CPO Inventory Grows Offering Lower Cost and Faster Delivery

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Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) has a reputation for making people wait to buy one of their luxury EVs. The wait time for those with deposits on the Model X alone is reported to be well over a year. That’s a long time to wait when you want your car now. However, for Tesla fans who are inclined towards luxury and have time, money and patience, this seems an acceptable cost to endure.

Model S Tesla Motors Inc insane mode

But what if you wanted a Tesla EV without having to deal with the long waiting processes or the hefty price tags? Well, for those eager to find themselves behind the driving seat of a Model S, there is Tesla’s certified pre-owned (CPO) program.

The CPO program is one solution for those willing to invest in a Model S but would prefer not to pay full-price or wait for the delivery of a new one. It also allows the company to regulate the steadily growing market of used Model Ss. The program was launched in April of 2015 and has been working well for the company and for buyers ever since.

However, one might ask: What’s the point of investing in a used Tesla?  The benefits of a used Tesla Model S...

The CPO program is managed by the same company that makes the cars that are sold through the program. This shouldn’t be surprising if you consider Tesla’s stance on dealerships. But there are many other conveniences that come along with the Tesla CPO Program.

First, Tesla Motors probably doesn’t like having used cars in its inventory as much as any manufacturer. However, if there is a market for them out there and they have be sold, the company would prefer to have this done properly under its own care and supervision. This allows the EV giant to ensure that the Tesla brand and the care of its used vehicles is identical to that of a new EV purchase. Buying a pre-owned Model S doesn’t have buyers worried about fending off used car salespeople.

Buyers don’t have to worry about the quality of the car. Tesla clearly understands the delicate state of its brand. Having defective luxury EVs out on the roads would hurt the company far more than a quick buck could repair.

A pre-owned Model S is understandably less expensive than a new one. In fact, some sold for as little as $46,000 in 2015. The Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) website currently offers used EVs for as low as $60,000, depending on the model and mileage. In an ideal market, this is all anyone seeking to buy a pre-owned Tesla should concern themselves with: price and mileage.Related...   Tesla Motors Inc (TSLA) Q4 and 2015 Earnings: What To Watch For

Perhaps the best pro about making a purchase through Tesla’s CPO program is that it allows buyers to jump the queue. There are no lengthy waiting processes when getting a used Tesla Model S. Buyers of the pre-owned EVs report the process to be quick and effortless.

“They were great people who worked hard to get us everything we needed to complete the purchase,” reports one buyer. “Not only did we arrive to find our new Tesla wrapped in a bow, but [they] spent two hours answering every question we had — and we had a lot.”

Shorter delivery times offer a huge bonus for CPO buyers. It is well known that the time between buying a new Tesla Model S and its actual delivery spans months or even years. The mentioned buyer got his pre-owned Tesla, with just over 7000 miles on the clock, in only a faction of that time. “We had ours in less than a week,” he happily reported.

Key things to know

The are number of things to consider when looking to get a CPO Tesla. Although CPO inventory is continuing to grow, a Model S with the exact you’d like may be hard to find through the program. This means that the chance to get a car equipped with the tech seen in later Model S vehicles comes very rarely. It is difficult to find a CPO Model S fitted with Tesla’s Autopilot or Summon tech. However, though they are rare, many buyers can strike gold and end up driving away with newer pre-owned models.

When the program launched, used Teslas were available only in the Los Angeles, San Francisco and Pennsylvania areas.  Today you can find CPO vehicles in Atlanta, Chicago, Florida, Hawaii, Los Angeles, Missouri, New England, New York, Ohio, Orange County, Pennsylvania, Rocky Mountain Region, San Francisco, Seattle and Washington DC.

Another unfortunate but important fact to take note of is that some tax benefits do not apply to used Tesla buyers. CPO buyers do not qualify for the $7500 federal tax benefit.

Only the Tesla Model S is available on the CPO program at this time. This is understandable considering that Model X deliveries only began a very short while ago. Those interested in getting a certified pre-owned Tesla can visit the company’s website. Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) CPO lease payments assume a 36 month, 10,000 mile per year lease. They come with no security deposit. 12,000 and 15,000 mile per year leases are also available.

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Top Chinese Official Refutes Soros Prediction for Hard Landing

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China will avoid the kind of hard landing predicted by the likes of billionaire investor George Soros as policy makers still have enough tools to maintain reasonable growth as they seek to overhaul the world’s second-largest economy, the country’s top economic planner said.

QuickTake China’s Pain Points

The Asian nation’s economy will expand by at least 6.5 percent annually for the next five years, after growth of 6.9 percent last year, the slowest pace in a quarter century. The latest forecasts were delivered by Premier Li Keqiang in a work report Saturday at the start of the annual full session of the National People’s Congress. The government will increase its deficit as it shells out more funds to underpin growth and buffer the effects of job cuts in bloated state-run enterprises, Li said.

“China’s economy absolutely will not have a hard landing, the so called hard-landing predictions are bound to fall through,” said Xu Shaoshi, chairman of the National Development and Reform Commission, said Sunday at a press conference in Beijing when asked about recent remarks by Soros.

The economy is facing headwinds, and risks such as declining government revenue, falling prices for industrial commodities and declines in corporate profit “should not be under-estimated,” Xu said. Global factors from financial market fluctuations to geopolitical risk may also impact growth, he said.

Despite the risks, China is achieving its planned rebalance from investment and manufacturing-driven growth to a model based on expanding services and consumer spending, with new businesses and sectors growing rapidly, he said. China will use macro-economic measures to boost consumption, pursue a stable level of foreign trade, and increase effective investment to carry out the economic restructuring, Xu said.

China remains an engine for global growth and is not exporting its slowdown and market volatility as some have said, according to Xu. China accounted for about 15 percent of the world’s $73 trillion economy, compared with 24 percent for the United States.

Rising volumes of Chinese imports especially of commodities from crude oil to iron ore and fertilizers, as well as a 14.7 percent increase in non-financial foreign direct investment last year, are also positive for global growth, Xu said.

“There is no justification to the argument that China’s economy is weighing down the global economy,” said Xu. The theory that fluctuations in China’s stock and currency markets in January subsequently led to volatility in U.S. and European stock markets “overestimate China’s capabilities; China does not have such a big spillover effect,” he said.

As part of its structural reform, China’s overhaul of state-owned enterprises and reduction of overcapacity in industries from iron and steel to coal production will not lead to massive layoffs, as local governments and companies have come up with various ways to cushion the blow, Xu said. China has set aside 100 billion yuan ($15 billion) to help displaced workers at state-owned enterprises, Li said in his work report.

In the last round of SOE reforms by then-premier Zhu Rongji following slower expansion in the 1990s, some 60,000 firms were closed and 40 million workers lost their jobs, according to government data.

Another difficult reform is smoothing out imbalances in the property market, he said. Home prices in first-and second-tier cities are rising at a relatively rapid pace, while lower-level cities face a glut of unsold homes.

China has already cut taxes on home transactions and eased mortgage down payment requirements to support the property market. Its commercial housing stockpile stood at 719 million square meters by the end of last year, Xu said. The government will encourage migrant workers to settle in urban areas to digest existing homes, while curbing unreasonable, speculative demand that drives up prices in big cities.

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